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Tropical Storm FRED Public Advisory Number 5
2015-08-31 04:38:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 310237 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS LIKELY TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 22.4W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM ENE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 22.4 West. Fred is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center will move near or over some of the Cape Verde Islands early Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Fred is forecast to become a hurricane overnight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions by early Monday morning. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could produce life- threatening flash flooding and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Advisory Number 5
2015-08-31 04:37:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 310237 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE VERDE ISLANDS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 21.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.2N 23.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.5N 25.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.8N 27.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 29.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.8N 32.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 36.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 22.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm FRED Graphics
2015-08-31 01:39:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 30 Aug 2015 23:39:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 30 Aug 2015 21:06:46 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm FRED (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-31 01:36:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 8:00 PM AST Sun Aug 30 the center of FRED was located near 14.9, -21.8 with movement NW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm FRED Public Advisory Number 4A
2015-08-31 01:36:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 302336 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 800 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015 ...FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 21.8W ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM E OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 21.8 West. Fred is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center will move near or over some of the Cape Verde Islands early Monday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and Fred is forecast to become a hurricane overnight. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of the Cape Verde Islands in a few hours, with hurricane conditions by early Monday morning. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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