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Hurricane FRED Forecast Advisory Number 8
2015-08-31 22:40:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 312040 TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 24.6W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 24.6W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N 25.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N 27.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N 29.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N 31.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N 34.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N 37.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 24.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Hurricane FRED Graphics
2015-08-31 20:39:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 17:50:10 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 31 Aug 2015 18:34:06 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane FRED (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-31 19:49:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... ...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND... As of 2:00 PM AST Mon Aug 31 the center of FRED was located near 16.9, -24.2 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
Hurricane FRED Public Advisory Number 7A
2015-08-31 19:49:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015 000 WTNT31 KNHC 311749 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015 200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015 ...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... ...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cape Verde Islands For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through early tonight while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this evening and continue into the overnight hours. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater. STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. RAINFALL: Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Summary for Hurricane FRED (AT1/AL062015)
2015-08-31 16:58:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Aug 31 the center of FRED was located near 16.4, -23.7 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
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