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Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Advisory Number 4
2020-11-01 15:55:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 011455 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1500 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO SANDY BAY SIRPI. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO SANDY BAY SIRPI A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 77.2W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 77.2W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 76.6W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.9N 78.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 20SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.9N 80.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.5N 81.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 50SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N 82.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 70SE 80SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.9N 83.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.8N 84.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 14.1N 86.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 14.6N 88.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 77.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN
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Tropical Storm Eta Graphics
2020-11-01 12:46:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Nov 2020 11:46:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Nov 2020 09:25:17 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)
2020-11-01 12:45:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ETA EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... As of 7:00 AM EST Sun Nov 1 the center of Eta was located near 14.9, -76.7 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Eta Public Advisory Number 3A
2020-11-01 12:45:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM EST Sun Nov 01 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 011145 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 3A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 700 AM EST Sun Nov 01 2020 ...ETA EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 76.7W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The northeastern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca to the Honduras/Nicaragua border. * The northeastern coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to Puerto Cabezas A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings will likely be required for portions of these countries later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 76.7 West. Eta is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected to continue today and tonight. A slower motion toward the west-southwest is forecast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to be near the northeastern coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras by Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Eta is expected to become a hurricane by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area by early Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions possible in this area by Monday night. RAINFALL: Through Thursday evening, Eta is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain, with local maximum amounts of 15 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and the southern coast of Hispaniola. Across northern Honduras and northern Nicaragua, rainfall totals of 10 to 20 inches, with local maximum amounts of 30 inches are expected. This rainfall may lead to life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Eta Graphics
2020-11-01 09:58:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 01 Nov 2020 08:58:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 01 Nov 2020 09:25:17 GMT
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