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Tropical Storm Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 8
2020-10-26 15:48:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 261448 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 1500 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PINAR DEL RIO CUBA * SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN * WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 84.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.1N 86.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 88.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.3N 90.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.7N 91.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.9N 90.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 85.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 26/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Zeta Graphics
2020-10-26 12:54:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 11:54:24 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 09:25:23 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm Zeta (AT3/AL282020)
2020-10-26 12:52:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE TODAY... As of 8:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 the center of Zeta was located near 18.9, -84.8 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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Tropical Storm Zeta Public Advisory Number 7A
2020-10-26 12:52:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020 984 WTNT33 KNHC 261152 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020 ...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY LATE TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 84.8W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tulum to Dzilam Mexico * Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Pinar del Rio Cuba * South of Tulum to Punta Allen * West of Dzilam to Progreso A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf coast later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 84.8 West. Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the north Tuesday night. A faster northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move near or over the northern Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday. Observations from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Zeta is expected to become a hurricane later this morning. Additional strengthening is expected before Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches is expected across portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast, Tennessee Valley, southern Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta. The expected rainfall could lead to flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with minor river flooding. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula by late today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in Mexico by late today. Tropical storm conditions could occur in the warning area in western Cuba beginning later today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1-3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Zeta Graphics
2020-10-26 09:54:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 08:54:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 09:25:23 GMT
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