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Tropical Storm Marie Public Advisory Number 3
2020-09-29 22:33:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 29 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 292033 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Marie Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182020 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 29 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORMS WELL SOUTH OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 109.5W ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marie was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 109.5 West. Marie is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Marie could become a hurricane by Wednesday or Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm Marie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2020-09-29 22:33:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 292033 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 X 48(48) 33(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 15N 115W 50 X 15(15) 32(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 15N 115W 64 X 3( 3) 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 78(85) 4(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 53(54) 9(63) X(63) X(63) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 32(32) 7(39) X(39) X(39) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 45(47) 4(51) X(51) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 19(35) 1(36) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 20(58) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 13(28) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Marie Forecast Advisory Number 3
2020-09-29 22:33:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 292032 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.5W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 109.5W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 108.8W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.9N 111.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.6N 114.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.9N 117.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.3N 120.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 122.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N 124.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.6N 128.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 21.4N 131.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 109.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Storm Lowell Best Track Information (.shp)
2020-09-25 16:42:40| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2020 14:42:40 GMT
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Tropical Storm Lowell Best Track Information (.kmz)
2020-09-25 16:42:40| Tropical Depression LIDIA
GIS Data last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2020 14:42:40 GMT
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