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Tropical Storm Marco Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2020-08-23 04:44:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 230244 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 4( 4) 34(38) 4(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 20(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 35(47) 6(53) X(53) X(53) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 41(52) 7(59) X(59) X(59) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 27(29) 37(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 24(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 9( 9) 71(80) 4(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 2( 2) 51(53) 6(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) 24(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 45(54) 8(62) X(62) X(62) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 5(32) X(32) X(32) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 13(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 36(39) 13(52) X(52) X(52) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 35(39) 11(50) X(50) X(50) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 17(29) X(29) X(29) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 17(40) X(40) X(40) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 16(41) X(41) X(41) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) X(22) X(22) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 12(20) X(20) X(20) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 9(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEESLER AB 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 29(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Marco Forecast Advisory Number 11
2020-08-23 04:43:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 230243 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARCO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABINE PASS TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...LAKE BORGNE...AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 86.3W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 10SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 86.3W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 86.1W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.3N 87.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.3N 87.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.3N 88.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.6N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.5N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.9N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 86.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 23/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Tropical Storm Laura (AT3/AL132020)
2020-08-23 04:43:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LAURA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... As of 11:00 PM AST Sat Aug 22 the center of Laura was located near 18.3, -69.6 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Laura Public Advisory Number 13
2020-08-23 04:43:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 230243 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Laura Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 1100 PM AST Sat Aug 22 2020 ...LAURA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 69.6W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the U.S. Virgin Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra * The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the border with Haiti * The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Punta Palenque * The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the border with the Dominican Republic * The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands * Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Las Tunas, Holguin, Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, and Granma A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The central Bahamas * Andros Island * Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to Key West and the Dry Tortugas * Florida Bay * Cuban provinces of Ciego De Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, Artemisa, and Pinar Del Rio It should be noted that the Cuban province of Pinar Del Rio is still under a Tropical Storm Warning for Marco. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 69.6 West. Laura is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a this general motion is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Laura will move across Hispaniola tonight and early Sunday, near or over Cuba Sunday and Monday, and over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant changes in strength are forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours while Laura moves near or over Hispaniola and Cuba. Strengthening is forecast once Laura moves into the Gulf of Mexico Monday night and Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Tuesday: Western Puerto Rico: An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with maximum storm total accumulations of 8 inches, is possible before the rain diminishes overnight. Dominican Republic and Haiti: 4 to 8 inches, with maximum amounts of 12 inches across southern areas. Cuba: 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 8 inches. This heavy rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash and urban flooding, and the potential for mudslides across the Greater Antilles. Widespread minor to potentially moderate river flooding is possible in Puerto Rico. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches, is expected over the Turks and Caicos, southeast Bahamas and Jamaica. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area through Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area on Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. These swells are expected to spread across Cuba, much of the Bahamas, and the Florida Keys during the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Laura Forecast Advisory Number 13
2020-08-23 04:42:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 230242 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE * THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS * ANDROS ISLAND * FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST AND THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...AND PINAR DEL RIO IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO IS STILL UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARCO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 69.6W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 69.6W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.3N 72.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.6N 76.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.4N 83.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.7N 85.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.2N 88.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 29.8N 91.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 34.7N 89.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 69.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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