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Summary for Hurricane KATE (AT2/AL122015)

2015-11-11 10:00:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...KATE BECOMES THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF 2015 WELL NORTH OF BERMUDA... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Nov 11 the center of KATE was located near 36.0, -65.7 with movement NE at 40 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

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Hurricane KATE Forecast Advisory Number 10

2015-11-11 09:59:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 000 WTNT22 KNHC 110859 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 0900 UTC WED NOV 11 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 65.7W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 150SE 180SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 65.7W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 67.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 38.1N 59.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 40.8N 53.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 42.3N 50.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 60SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 420SE 360SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.5N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 34 KT...360NE 480SE 480SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 46.5N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 34 KT...480NE 480SE 240SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 54.0N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 65.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm KATE Graphics

2015-11-11 04:03:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 11 Nov 2015 02:39:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 11 Nov 2015 03:03:45 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm KATE (AT2/AL122015)

2015-11-11 03:39:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...KATE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Nov 10 the center of KATE was located near 33.9, -69.5 with movement NE at 35 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm KATE Public Advisory Number 9

2015-11-11 03:39:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST TUE NOV 10 2015 000 WTNT32 KNHC 110239 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015 1100 PM AST TUE NOV 10 2015 ...KATE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 69.5W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM WNW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Kate. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was located near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 69.5 West. Kate is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast with an additional increase in forward speed is expected by Wednesday morning. On the forecast track, the center of Kate is expected to remain well offshore of the east coast of the United States and pass north of Bermuda tonight and early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours, and Kate could still become a hurricane tonight or early Wednesday. Kate is forecast to lose tropical characteristics Wednesday night or Thursday, but remain a powerful cyclone through that time. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells from Kate will begin to affect Bermuda tonight and continue through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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