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Hurricane Olaf Graphics

2021-09-10 07:51:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 10 Sep 2021 05:51:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 10 Sep 2021 03:34:19 GMT

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Hurricane Olaf Public Advisory Number 10A

2021-09-10 07:51:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 100551 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152021 1200 AM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021 ...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL FROM OLAF CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.4N 110.2W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Baja California Sur Mexico from Los Barriles to Cabo San Lazaro. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California Sur Mexico north of Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito * Baja California Sur Mexico north of Los Barriles to Loreto A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the hurricane warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the tropical storm warning area. Interests elsewhere in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Olaf. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Olaf was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 110.2 West. Olaf is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the southwest by Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center of Olaf will move along the southwestern coast of Baja California Sur today. The hurricane will begin to move westward away from land tonight or early Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is expected today as Olaf interacts with land. Further weakening is likely over the weekend after Olaf moves away from Baja California Sur. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Olaf can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring within the hurricane warning area and will continue to spread northward today. Tropical storm conditions are also occuring over portions of Baja California Sur and will spread northward within the tropical storm warning area today. RAINFALL: Olaf is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches with maximum amounts of 15 inches across portions of southern Baja California Sur through today. This rainfall may trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding within the warning areas in regions of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. SURF: Swells generated by Olaf are affecting portions of the coasts of southern Baja California Sur, Nayarit, and Sinaloa, and will spread northward along the west coast of Baja California Sur through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Summary for Hurricane Larry (AT2/AL122021)

2021-09-10 07:50:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...LARRY HEADING TOWARDS NEWFOUNDLAND... As of 2:00 AM AST Fri Sep 10 the center of Larry was located near 36.5, -62.2 with movement N at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 966 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.

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Hurricane Larry Public Advisory Number 38A

2021-09-10 07:50:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Fri Sep 10 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 100550 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 38A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122021 200 AM AST Fri Sep 10 2021 ...LARRY HEADING TOWARDS NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.5N 62.2W ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM NNE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 845 MI...1360 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from Arnold's Cove to Jones Harbour A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Newfoundland from Lamaline to west of Arnold's Cove * Southeastern Newfoundland from north of Jones Harbor to Bonavista A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 36.5 North, longitude 62.2 West. Larry is moving toward the north near 25 mph (41 km/h). A further increase in forward speed is expected this morning with a turn to the northeast forecast later today. On the forecast track, the center of Larry will continue to move away from Bermuda this morning, and move near or over southeastern Newfoundland tonight or early Saturday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin later today, but Larry is expected to remain a hurricane until it passes Newfoundland. Larry should become an extratropical cyclone on Saturday, and is now forecast to be absorbed by a larger extratropical low near Greenland by the end of the weekend. Larry remains a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in southeastern Newfoundland tonight, with tropical storm conditions expected by late today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in southeastern Newfoundland by late today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding within the warning areas in southeastern Newfoundland. SURF: Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect portions of the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas today. Significant swells from Larry will continue affecting Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Heavy rains from Larry will move quickly across eastern Newfoundland tonight, producing 1 to 2 inches of rain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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