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Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Discussion Number 20
2020-06-06 16:48:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 061448 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020 Cristobal's satellite presentation continues to lack the appearance of a classic tropical cyclone, with a large curved band over the northern semicircle and little deep convection near the center. The latest flight-level and SFMR-observed surface wind observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft support a current intensity of 45 kt. Based on the poorly-organized state of the system, some dry air entrainment, and interaction with an upper-level low, only some slow strengthening is forecast, as in the previous advisories. The NHC intensity forecast remains in good agreement with the model consensus. The storm is moving northward at a slightly slower 10 kt. There has not been much change in the track forecast or forecast reasoning. Cristobal should continue northward through a weakness in the subtropical ridge until tomorrow evening, bringing the center to the northern Gulf coast in about 36 hours. Later, a turn to the north-northwest, and then back to the north is forecast as the cyclone moves between a mid-level ridge and a trough approaching the central United States. In 3-4 days, the post-tropical system should accelerate north-northeastward on the east side of the trough and move into Canada. Cristobal is likely to remain a broad and asymmetric storm when it makes landfall. Therefore, users are urged to not focus on the exact forecast path as the associated winds, storm surge, and rainfall will extend well to the east of the center. Key Messages: 1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for those areas. Life-threatening storm surge remains possible in other portions of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 2. Tropical storm force winds are expected by late tonight along the northern Gulf Coast from central Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for this area. These winds will arrive well in advance of and extend well east of Cristobals center. 3. Heavy rainfall will continue across west and north Florida today, spreading from east to west across the eastern and central Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle into Louisiana today into Sunday. This heavy rain will move into the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday. Significant flooding will be possible on smaller streams, especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions of the Gulf Coast and Lower Mississippi Valley. 4. Damaging and deadly flooding was already occurring in portions of Mexico and Central America. Additional rainfall from Cristobal will continue to slowly subside, however life-threatening flash floods and mudslides will still be possible through today. Refer to products from your local weather office for more information. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/1500Z 24.2N 90.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 07/0000Z 25.6N 90.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 07/1200Z 27.4N 90.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 08/0000Z 29.3N 90.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...ON THE COAST 48H 08/1200Z 31.5N 91.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 60H 09/0000Z 34.5N 92.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 72H 09/1200Z 38.0N 92.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 10/1200Z 47.5N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 11/1200Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Storm Cristobal (AT3/AL032020)
2020-06-06 16:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 the center of Cristobal was located near 24.2, -90.1 with movement N at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Public Advisory Number 20
2020-06-06 16:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061448 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2020 ...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 90.1W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Watch for the Florida Big Bend has been replaced with coastal flood advisories and statements from local National Weather Service offices. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Intracoastal City to Morgan City Louisiana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi * Lake Borgne A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi River A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for * Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Florida line * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 90.1 West. Cristobal is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a gradual turn toward the north-northwest. On the forecast track, the center of Cristobal will move northward over the central Gulf of Mexico today and tonight, and will be near the northern Gulf of Mexico coast on Sunday. Cristobal's center is then forecast to move inland across Louisiana late Sunday through Monday morning, and northward across Arkansas and Missouri Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast until landfall occurs on the northern Gulf coast. Weakening will begin once Cristobal moves inland late Sunday and Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake Borgne...3-5 ft Morgan City LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...2-4 ft Ocean Springs MS to Marco Island FL including Mobile Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Tampa Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf Coast beginning late tonight or Sunday morning. RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the eastern and central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated amounts to 12 inches. Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the central Gulf Coast. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected across the Mid-Mississippi Valley. This rainfall may lead to flash flooding and widespread flooding on smaller streams across the Lower to Mid-Mississippi Valley. Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan, bringing isolated storm totals to 25 inches. This will continue the threat of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur on Sunday across southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. SURF: Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 20
2020-06-06 16:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 061448 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI * LAKE BORGNE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY FLORIDA LINE * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 90.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 180SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 345SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 90.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 90.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.6N 90.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 180SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.4N 90.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 29.3N 90.7W...ON THE COAST MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 38.0N 92.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 47.5N 86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 90.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2020-06-06 16:48:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 061448 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC SAT JUN 06 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 6( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 6( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GFMX 290N 870W 34 9 13(22) 11(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MOBILE AL 34 X 3( 3) 28(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) GULFPORT MS 34 1 6( 7) 44(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 34 1 8( 9) 49(58) 4(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 2 33(35) 41(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 890W 34 39 39(78) 6(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 13(14) 54(68) 5(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 26 44(70) 9(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 4( 4) 48(52) 7(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 11(12) 50(62) 4(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 7(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 35(37) 5(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 39(42) 4(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 7(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CAMERON LA 34 1 3( 4) 16(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GALVESTON TX 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 3 9(12) 16(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) KEESLER AB 34 3 14(17) 37(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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