je.st
news
Tag: storm
Tropical Storm Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2020-09-12 04:41:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 120241 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Advisory Number 20
2020-09-12 04:40:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 120240 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 42.4W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 42.4W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 41.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.4N 44.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.1N 45.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.7N 47.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.8N 47.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.1N 47.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.8N 48.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 25.9N 50.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.8N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 42.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-12 01:41:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 23:41:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 23:41:22 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
rene
Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics
2020-09-11 22:52:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 20:52:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 11 Sep 2020 20:52:11 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
paulette
Tropical Storm Rene Forecast Discussion Number 19
2020-09-11 22:52:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 062 WTNT43 KNHC 112051 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rene Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020 Deep convection has increased over the western semicircle of the circulation and is re-forming near the center. Based on a blend of subjective Dvorak classifications and ADT values from UW-CIMSS, the current intensity estimate remains at 35 kt. Hopefully we will get a scatterometer pass over the system soon to give a better intensity estimate. Some strengthening is anticipated during the next day or so, but increasing shear should halt the intensification process, and bring about weakening, thereafter. The official intensity forecast is above the latest model consensus. Rene continues to move west-northwestward and should gradually turn to the right while it moves around the western periphery of a mid-level high pressure system for the next couple of days. In the latter half of the forecast period, a blocking high to the north and northwest of Rene should force the cyclone to turn toward the west and west-southwest. The new official track forecast has been shifted to the southwest of the previous one in 3-5 days, following the latest guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 20.7N 41.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 21.7N 42.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 12/1800Z 23.3N 44.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 13/0600Z 24.9N 46.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 13/1800Z 26.4N 47.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 14/0600Z 27.0N 47.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 14/1800Z 27.0N 48.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 15/1800Z 26.5N 50.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 16/1800Z 25.0N 53.0W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [826] [827] [828] [829] [830] [831] [832] [833] [834] [835] [836] [837] [838] [839] [840] [841] [842] [843] [844] [845] next »