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Summary for Tropical Storm Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-08 07:50:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS TODAY... As of 5:00 AM CVT Tue Sep 8 the center of Rene was located near 16.2, -24.0 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Rene Public Advisory Number 4A
2020-09-08 07:50:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 080550 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rene Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 AM CVT Tue Sep 08 2020 ...RENE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM CVT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 24.0W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF SAO NICOLAU CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF SANTO ANTAO CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Verde Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM CVT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 24.0 West. Rene is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a motion toward the west to west-northwest is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Rene will pass over the central Cabo Verde Islands this morning and over the western Cabo Verde Islands this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, followed by gradual strengthening tonight into Thursday, with Rene forecast to become a hurricane in two or three days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. Sal, Cabo Verde Islands, recently reported sustained winds of 32 mph (52 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Rene can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: Rene is expected to produce 2 to 5 inches of rain across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Tuesday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions occurring over the eastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands will spread westward across the remainder of the Cabo Verde Islands this morning through this afternoon. SURF: Swells generated by Rene are expected to spread westward across the Cabo Verde Islands today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics
2020-09-08 04:34:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:34:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:34:17 GMT
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Tropical Storm Rene Graphics
2020-09-08 04:33:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:33:28 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:33:28 GMT
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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-09-08 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 080232 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Paulette Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 Satellite images show that Paulette continues to become better organized, with a more symmetric presentation and very deep convection near or just north of the center. The initial wind speed is increased to 40 kt, a little higher than recent subjective Dvorak estimates, but close to the objective estimates and the UW-CIMSS satellite consensus. Further strengthening is expected during the next day or so while the storm remains in a warm SST and low-to-moderate shear environment. By midweek, some weakening is forecast due to an increase in shear from an enhanced mid-oceanic upper-level trough. There's a fair amount of uncertainty on how quickly the tropical cyclone moves across the trough axis, which would then allow Paulette to find an area of lighter shear, plus very warm water, by the end of the forecast period. The intensity forecast is slightly higher in the short-term, and lower in the day-4 period just before the environment is forecast to improve. Paulette appears to be moving slowly north-northwestward this evening. A mid-level ridge is likely to build over the western and central North Atlantic in a day or two, and this pattern should cause Paulette to move faster toward the northwest tomorrow, and west-northwestward or westward through late week. A turn back toward the west-northwest or northwest is possible over the weekend as the cyclone reaches the western periphery of the ridge. This is not a particularly certain forecast because the track models aren't in good agreement, perhaps linked to the strength of Paulette, and there is significant spread in the various ensemble guidance. With no clear trends to rely on, and since the new model consensus came in very close to the previous NHC forecast, the new NHC track prediction is basically unchanged from the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 17.8N 42.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 18.4N 42.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 19.2N 44.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 19.9N 45.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 20.5N 47.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 10/1200Z 20.9N 49.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 11/0000Z 21.3N 51.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 12/0000Z 22.5N 55.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 13/0000Z 25.0N 58.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
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