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Summary for Tropical Storm ANDREA (AT1/AL012013)
2013-06-06 13:38:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE MORNING... As of 7:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 the center of ANDREA was located near 27.7, -85.1 with movement NNE at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Public Advisory Number 3A
2013-06-06 13:38:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT THU JUN 06 2013 000 WTNT31 KNHC 061138 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 700 AM CDT THU JUN 06 2013 ...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE MORNING... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.7N 85.1W ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. ANDREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA WILL REACH THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA LATER TODAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA...2 TO 5 FT FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE... AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE FLORIDA WEST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics
2013-06-06 11:09:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Thu, 06 Jun 2013 09:09:36 GMT
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Graphics
2013-06-06 11:07:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 06 Jun 2013 08:50:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 06 Jun 2013 09:03:48 GMT
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Tropical Storm ANDREA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2013-06-06 10:50:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 06 2013 000 FONT11 KNHC 060850 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013 0900 UTC THU JUN 06 2013 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 4 8 18 27 26 23 TROP DEPRESSION 2 25 27 32 32 28 19 TROPICAL STORM 91 67 60 46 39 42 48 HURRICANE 7 5 5 4 3 4 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 6 5 4 4 3 4 9 HUR CAT 2 1 X 1 X X X 1 HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50KT 40KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 35KT 45KT II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) X(16) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 12(12) 15(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 12(12) 16(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 18(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 24(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 32(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 13(13) 24(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) AUGUSTA GA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 1 30(31) 9(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) SAVANNAH GA 50 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAVANNAH GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS 34 3 36(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) MAYPORT NS 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) JACKSONVILLE 34 4 42(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) JACKSONVILLE 50 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 15(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ORLANDO FL 34 8 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARCO ISLAND 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) VENICE FL 34 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) TAMPA FL 34 30 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) CEDAR KEY FL 34 50 19(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) CEDAR KEY FL 50 10 10(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 12 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 24 11(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) ST MARKS FL 50 5 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST MARKS FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) APALACHICOLA 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) GFMX 290N 850W 50 18 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GFMX 290N 850W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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