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Summary for Tropical Storm BERTHA (AT3/AL032014)

2014-08-06 10:44:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...BERTHA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Aug 6 the center of BERTHA was located near 39.0, -65.4 with movement NE at 28 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm BERTHA Public Advisory Number 22

2014-08-06 10:44:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST WED AUG 06 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 060844 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 500 AM AST WED AUG 06 2014 ...BERTHA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.0N 65.4W ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL OR EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BERTHA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Storm BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2014-08-06 10:35:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 060835 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 16(16) 16(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SABLE ISLAND 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Storm BERTHA Forecast Advisory Number 22

2014-08-06 10:34:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 060834 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 0900 UTC WED AUG 06 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 65.4W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 180SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 65.4W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 66.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 40.8N 61.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 43.6N 55.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 46.0N 49.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 240SE 120SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 240SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 48.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 48.5N 12.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 65.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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