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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2013-09-06 20:25:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1830 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 061825 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 1830 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 AT 1830Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 4 26 NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 70 57 NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 26 17 NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25KT 20KT NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TAMPICO MX 34 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082013)
2013-09-06 20:25:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TAMPICO... ...CENTER MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME... As of 1:30 PM CDT Fri Sep 6 the center of EIGHT was located near 22.3, -97.8 with movement WSW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 1
2013-09-06 20:25:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 130 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061825 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 130 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TAMPICO... ...CENTER MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME... SUMMARY OF 130 PM CDT...1830 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 97.8W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 130 PM CDT...1830 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY MAKING LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF TAMPICO MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND... AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER EASTERN MEXICO ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE TAMPICO AREA IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE IN A FEW SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 1
2013-09-06 20:25:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1830 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT23 KNHC 061825 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 1830 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 97.8W AT 06/1830Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 97.8W AT 06/1830Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 97.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.1N 98.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.9N 99.2W...INLAND POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 97.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression GABRIELLE Graphics
2013-09-05 23:08:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 05 Sep 2013 20:37:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 05 Sep 2013 21:04:45 GMT
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