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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082013)
2013-09-07 04:33:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING INLAND... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... As of 10:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 6 the center of EIGHT was located near 21.7, -98.8 with movement SW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 3
2013-09-07 04:33:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT33 KNHC 070233 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 ...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING INLAND... ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.7N 98.8W ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM WSW OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA ON SATURDAY AND DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI AND TAMAULIPAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2013-09-07 04:33:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 07 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 070233 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 0300 UTC SAT SEP 07 2013 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 12 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 78 NA NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 10 NA NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE X NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X NA NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X NA NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20KT NA NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2013-09-06 22:33:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 062033 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 2100 UTC FRI SEP 06 2013 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 5 28 NA NA NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 74 56 NA NA NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 21 16 NA NA NA NA NA HURRICANE X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X NA NA NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X NA NA NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25KT 20KT NA NA NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TAMPICO MX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Discussion Number 2
2013-09-06 22:33:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT43 KNHC 062033 TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MADE LANDFALL IN THE TAMPICO MEXICO AREA AROUND 1800 UTC. WHILE THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WINDS FROM THE MEXICAN COASTAL STATIONS...TAMPICO REPORTED A PRESSURE OF NEAR 1009 MB AS THE CENTER PASSED OVER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT SINCE A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE CIRCULATION IS STILL OVER WATER. NOW THAT THE CENTER IS INLAND... THE CYCLONE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL IT DISSIPATES COMPLETELY IN 24-36 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 250/5. A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD STEER IT GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINS OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 22.2N 98.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 07/0600Z 21.9N 98.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 07/1800Z 21.5N 100.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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