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Summary for Tropical Depression One-E (EP1/EP012020)
2020-04-26 16:37:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 the center of One-E was located near 15.7, -118.8 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression One-E Public Advisory Number 5
2020-04-26 16:37:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 261437 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 800 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 118.8W ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 118.8 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest is expected today, followed by a turn toward the west later tonight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low this afternoon or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-04-26 16:37:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 261437 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012020 1500 UTC SUN APR 26 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.8W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 118.8W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.3N 120.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.8N 122.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 124.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 118.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression One-E Graphics
2020-04-26 09:38:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 07:38:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 26 Apr 2020 07:38:52 GMT
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2020-04-26 09:35:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 771 WTPZ41 KNHC 260735 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012020 200 AM PDT Sun Apr 26 2020 Earlier NRL WindSAT microwave imagery and GOES16 ProxyVIS showed the depression's ill-defined center of circulation still displaced well to the northwest of a small, shapeless patch of deep convection. A 0446 UTC METOP-A scatterometer pass revealed a couple of 30 kt winds to the east of the surface center. Accordingly, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt. Low to mid-level drier air indicated by the SHIPS intensity guidance, and 20-25 kt of westerly shear shown in the UW-CIMSS shear product, are certainly prohibiting convective development. An intruding dry, stable air mass, increasing shear, and gradually decreasing sea surface temperatures should induce a weakening trend soon and ultimately cause the cyclone to become a remnant low by tonight. The large-scale and regional guidance all show the depression dissipating no later than Monday night. The initial motion is estimated to be northwestward, or 305/7 kt. A Low to mid-tropospheric ridge anchored north of the depression should influence a continued northwestward motion through today. Afterward, the cyclone is expected to degenerate into a shallow remnant low, and move westward in the low-level easterly flow until it dissipates. The new official forecast is similar to the previous advisory track, and is primarily based on the multi-model consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0900Z 15.2N 118.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/1800Z 15.9N 119.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 27/0600Z 16.4N 121.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/1800Z 16.8N 123.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Roberts
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