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Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Graphics
2019-07-08 16:35:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2019 14:35:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2019 15:23:52 GMT
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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme (EP3/EP032019)
2019-07-08 16:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...COSME DEGENERATES INTO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Jul 8 the center of Cosme was located near 20.5, -120.7 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Forecast Advisory Number 9
2019-07-08 16:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2019 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 081432 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032019 1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 120.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 120.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.0N 121.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.6N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.1N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 120.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COSME, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression Cosme Graphics
2019-07-08 10:35:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2019 08:35:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 08 Jul 2019 09:24:11 GMT
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depression
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Tropical Depression Cosme Forecast Discussion Number 8
2019-07-08 10:34:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Mon Jul 08 2019 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 080834 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Cosme Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032019 200 AM PDT Mon Jul 08 2019 Cosme continues to gradually weaken over 23 to 24 degree C waters and in a dry and stable atmospheric environment with about 10 to 15 kt of westerly shear. The depression now consists of scattered mid- to high- level debris clouds over a low-level swirl, with a small area of convection located nearly 200 n mi northeast the system's center. A scatterometer pass at 0450 UTC showed peak winds of 25 kt associated with Cosme's circulation. This intensity agrees with the satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and ADT and will be the depression's initial intensity for this advisory. The unfavorable environmental conditions for Cosme will not improve as the depression continues to move over cooler waters today. This should prevent any significant amounts of deep convection from developing near the system's center, and Cosme is expected to become a remnant low at some point later on today. The initial motion of Cosme is northwest at 8 kt. This general motion will continue through today with a slowing in forward speed. Thereafter, the remnant low will drift northwestward to west-northwestward in the low-level flow until it dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0900Z 19.8N 120.1W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 08/1800Z 20.4N 120.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 09/0600Z 21.0N 121.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 09/1800Z 21.5N 122.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch
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