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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 13:48:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form later today while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By tonight or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:08:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 130507 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. This wave is expected to move off the coast later today, and although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:07:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
787 ABNT20 KNHC 130507 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles south of Nova Scotia, Canada. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move west-northwestward toward Central America, and some development is possible if the low remains over water when it is near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize on Monday and Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over portions of western Africa. This wave is expected to move off the coast later today, and although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is possible during the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds should prevent additional development by midweek. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 07:06:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure area a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains elongated, and the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still not well organized. Although the window of opportunity for development is decreasing, a tropical depression could still form on Sunday while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By Sunday night or Monday, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forming a couple of hundred miles west of the the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near or just off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-13 01:32:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Melissa, located several hundred miles southeast of the New England coast. Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure is forming over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low moves over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of the system is still possible before conditions become unfavorable by the middle of next week. The system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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