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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-09 01:47:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 082346 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce winds to near gale force. This system could still become a tropical or subtropical storm while it moves slowly westward through Wednesday. However, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday evening. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure. This low is forecast to move northward or northeastward and strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the next day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it drifts southward offshore of the United States. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional information on this system can also be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A small area of low pressure is located about 300 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. While the system is likely producing winds to near gale force, the associated thunderstorm activity has recently decreased. Although upper-level winds are not particularly favorable for additional development, this system still has the potential to become a tropical depression or storm on Wednesday. By late Wednesday, the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-09 01:45:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 082344 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico by the end of the week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves west-northwest to northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-08 19:41:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 081741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles southwest of the western coast of Mexico at the end of the week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some slow development over the weekend as the system moves west-northwest to northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-08 19:38:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 081738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic between Bermuda and the Azores continues to produce gale-force winds to the north of its center. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics through early Wednesday, and this system could still become a tropical or subtropical storm later today or early Wednesday while it moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday evening. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States are associated with a frontal boundary and a broad, non-tropical area of low pressure. This system is forecast to drift northward or northeastward and deepen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the next day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it remains off the east coast of the United States. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and northeastern United States coast through late week. Additional information on this system can also be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Recent satellite wind data indicate that a small area of low pressure has formed in association with an area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles southeast of Charleston, South Carolina. The system is producing winds to near tropical storm strength and the associated thunderstorm activity has recently shown some signs of organization. Although upper-level winds, are not particularly favorable for additional development, only a small increase in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or storm later today or tonight. On Wednesday, the system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the United States, and further development is not anticipated after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-08 13:16:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 081116 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic between Bermuda and the Azores is producing winds to gale force. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics, and this system could become a tropical or subtropical storm later today or early Wednesday while it moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday evening. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic between the southeastern coast of the United States and Bermuda are associated with a broad, non-tropical area of low pressure. This system is forecast to move northward or northeastward and could acquire some subtropical characteristics off the east coast of the United States by the end of the week. Additional information on this system can also be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A trough of low pressure extending across the southern Florida peninsula and into the southwestern Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible today when it moves off the southeast U.S. coast and north of the Bahamas. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a low off the east coast of the United States by Wednesday, and no further development is anticipated after that time. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the the Florida peninsula during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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