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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 07:43:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Satellite images suggest that the system is gradually consolidating, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves northward at 5 to 10 mph. By early next week, however, additional development is not expected due to cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the west of the center. Strong upper-level winds should limit development of this system during the next couple of days while the low moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 07:40:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
933 ABNT20 KNHC 120540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the New England coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a day or two. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rains to portions of Central America late this weekend and early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of this system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable by the middle of next week. This system is expected move westward to northwestward toward the Cabo Verde Islands during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 01:44:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112344 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system has become a little better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions are conducive for additional development. A tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves northwestward and then northward at 5 to 10 mph. Conditions will become less conducive for additional development early next week when the system begins to encounter colder waters and stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. While the associated thunderstorm activity shows some signs of organization, environmental conditions are not currently conducive for additional development. This system is expected to move little during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the eastern Pacific south of the coast of southeastern Mexico early next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-12 01:43:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112343 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a couple hundred miles south-southeast of the New England coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea this weekend. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves generally northwestward near or over the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-11 20:13:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
857 ABNT20 KNHC 111727 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 11 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently named Subtropical Storm Melissa, located a couple hundred miles south-southeast of the New England Coast. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea this weekend. This system is forecast to move westward toward Central America early next week, and some development is possible if the low remains over water while moving near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday. Although tropical cyclone formation in this area is climatologically unlikely this late in the hurricane season, some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves generally northwestward near or over the Cabo Verde Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Melissa are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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