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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 19:49:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111749 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to become better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next 24 hours as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1400 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Some slow development is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Cental America over the weekend. Thereafter, some development is possible into early next week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Burke/Blake
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eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 19:16:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111716 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of showers and thunderstorms was located along a sharp surface trough from near eastern Cuba through the southeastern Bahamas into the southwestern Atlantic. Conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development late this week, and a tropical depression could form near the northwestern Bahamas or South Florida as early as Friday. Further development is possible over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later this weekend. The disturbance will likely produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Bahamas through Friday, and across Florida during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, was located about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance is accompanied by a few thunderstorms showing little organization. The system is forecast to move westward where upper-level winds will become even less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave located in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean near the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days. Environmental conditions may become more favorable for development as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles from late this weekend into early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Burke/Blake
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 13:56:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111155 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2019 Delete word and correct number For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the southeastern Bahamas northward over the southwestern Atlantic for a few hundred miles are associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Limited development of this system is anticipated today or tomorrow, however conditions are forecast to become a little more favorable for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form as the disturbance moves slowly toward the west-northwest across the Florida Straits or South Florida and over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, this disturbance could produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad low pressure system, associated with a tropical wave, is located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance is accompanied by a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move westward toward unfavorable upper-level winds for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move quickly westward during the next several days. Some slow development is possible over the weekend or early next week when the system is moving over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 13:30:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend and early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-11 07:03:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is gradually becoming better defined. Associated thunderstorm activity has continued to increase, and environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form more than 1000 miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. Some additional development is possible while the system moves slowly westward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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