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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-13 01:53:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 122353 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is currently producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-13 01:53:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122353 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently named Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a little more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have decreased since this morning. Some gradual development of this system is still possible during the next couple of days while the wave moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the chance for development by late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave, located a few hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible through early next week as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-12 19:29:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 121729 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite derived winds and surface observations indicate that the disturbance in the Bahamas has not yet developed a closed circulation, and that the winds are not strong at this time. However, surface pressures remain low and environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression or tropical storm to form within the next day or two as the system moves toward the northwest at 5 to 10 mph through the northwestern Bahamas and toward the Florida Peninsula. Potential Tropical Cyclone advisories could be needed later today or Friday, and interests in the central and northwestern Bahamas as well as Florida should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development, this disturbance will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas through Friday, including areas of the northwestern Bahamas affected by Hurricane Dorian. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is still scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-12 19:26:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121725 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E, located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of Baja California. A tropical wave located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. As the tropical wave moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days, slow development is possible, with upper-level winds becoming less conducive for development thereafter. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days as it moves west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Development of this system is becoming increasingly likely, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Thirteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Thirteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Chenard/Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-12 13:53:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121153 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated and better organized this morning around an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If this trend continues, advisories will be initiated later this morning or afternoon while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. For additional information on this system, please refer to High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. A tropical wave located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while the system moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Development of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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