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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:55:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140555 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Humberto, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located between the two tropical waves mentioned above, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with the tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains a distinct system. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:43:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers located about 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with an elongated trough of low pressure. Development of this system is not expected as it begins to drift eastward into the larger circulation of Tropical Storm Kiko during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure has developed along an elongated trough about 500 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. This disturbance is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness, showers, and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Satellite-derived wind data also indicate that a broad area of low pressure is developing a few hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala. This system is producing a more concentrated but also disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 01:45:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132345 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Little to no development of this system is anticipated while it moves slowly westward for the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward well off the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America in a day or two. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 01:45:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132345 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Nine, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity and only gradual development is anticipated during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather has developed between two tropical waves, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with a tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains distinct from the wave. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-13 19:44:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a tropical wave. Only some slight development is expected over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the west of the wave axis. Some slow development is possible into next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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