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Tropical Depression Eleven Forecast Discussion Number 6
2018-09-23 10:32:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Sep 23 2018 959 WTNT41 KNHC 230832 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Eleven Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112018 500 AM AST Sun Sep 23 2018 Satellite images indicate that the depression is poorly organized. The circulation is becoming increasingly elongated, and it seems likely that a closed circulation may no longer exist. However, we are maintaining advisories for now to wait for visible imagery to better assess the low-level circulation. The depression continues to produce a few patches of deep convection, but these are confined to the east and northeast portions of the circulation due to about 35 kt of westerly shear. The initial intensity remains 25 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data. The system is moving into an environment of even stronger westerly wind shear. These hostile winds and dry air should cause the depression to dissipate, if it has not already, later today or tonight. The depression, or its remnants, are expected to move slowly west-northwestward for another day or so. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0900Z 14.5N 55.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 23/1800Z 15.0N 56.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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