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Appendix B: Discussion Draft Public Comments and Meetings
2018-05-15 01:24:55| PortlandOnline
Compilation of public comments on the Discussion Draft PDF Document, 6,375kbCategory: Appendices
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Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Forecast Discussion Number 6
2018-05-12 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 120232 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone One-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 800 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The depression has degenerated to a remnant low pressure area due to the lack of organized convection during the past 12 h and ongoing 40 kt of westerly shear. Continued weakening of the system is expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate completely after 24 h. The low is expected to move slowly northwestward until dissipation. This is the last advisory on this system issued by the National Hurricane Center. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0300Z 12.9N 130.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 12/1200Z 13.3N 130.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/0000Z 13.9N 130.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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Discussion Guide for Rate Hearing Talking Points
2018-05-12 01:32:08| PortlandOnline
PDF Document, 307kbCategory: May 8, 2018 Materials
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2018-05-11 22:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 112058 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 200 PM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The prevailing strong westerly wind shear removed all the convection from the depression, which now consists of a tight swirl of low clouds. Since the swirl is becoming less defined on satellite, the initial intensity has been lowered to 25 kt, with some possible higher gusts. Isolated and intermittent bursts of convection could still occur, but given the hostile environment, the NHC forecast calls for the depression to become a remnant low tonight. None the intensity guidance suggest reintensification of this system. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at about 3 kt embedded within a light steering flow. This slow general motion is expected to continue until dissipation. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/2100Z 12.8N 129.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 12/0600Z 13.2N 130.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Discussion Number 4
2018-05-11 16:32:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Fri May 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 111432 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012018 800 AM PDT Fri May 11 2018 The depression consists of a tight swirl of low clouds located to the west of the deep convection, which has been pulsing for the past several hours. At this time, the low-level center is moving away from the remaining thunderstorm activity. Satellite intensity estimates have not changed, and the winds are still estimated at 30 kt. Belligerently unfavorable westerly shear of about 45 kt is forecast to affect the depression, and with such an environment, I have no option but to forecast that the cyclone will degenerate into a remnant low within the next 12 hours or so. Satellite fixes suggest that the depression in moving toward the west or 280 degrees at about 4 kt. The depression or its remnants will continue to move slowly, and will likely turn toward the northwest and north embedded within light steering currents. This is the solution provided by the track guidance. However, if the system opens up into a trough sooner, it is more reasonable to expected a westward drift instead. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 12.7N 129.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 12/0000Z 13.0N 129.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1200Z 13.5N 130.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0000Z 14.0N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 13/1200Z 14.5N 130.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
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