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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-08-22 04:54:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220254 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER TO ADVISORY NUMBER 1 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 26(54) 4(58) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 2(26) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) 10(47) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Summary for Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E (EP3/EP132014)
2014-08-22 04:53:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 8:00 PM PDT Thu Aug 21 the center of THIRTEEN-E was located near 12.4, -99.0 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 1
2014-08-22 04:53:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT THU AUG 21 2014 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 220253 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 800 PM PDT THU AUG 21 2014 CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER TO ADVISORY NUMBER 1 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.4N 99.0W ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION AND ITS STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY... AND BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SATURDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Graphics
2013-09-13 19:36:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2013 17:36:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2013 15:09:44 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E (EP3/EP132013)
2013-09-13 19:33:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...VERY HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 11:00 AM PDT Fri Sep 13 the center of THIRTEEN-E was located near 15.6, -101.8 with movement NW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 999 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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