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Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2018-08-07 06:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 223 FOPZ13 KNHC 070436 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132018 0500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 AT 0500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 41 2(43) 1(44) X(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 26(59) 11(70) 1(71) X(71) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 7(29) X(29) X(29) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 13(28) 3(31) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number speed wind tropical

Summary for Tropical Depression Thirteen-E (EP3/EP132018)

2018-08-07 06:36:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC, NO THREAT TO LAND... As of 10:00 PM PDT Mon Aug 6 the center of Thirteen-E was located near 14.5, -124.3 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Public Advisory Number 1

2018-08-07 06:36:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1000 PM PDT Mon Aug 06 2018 061 WTPZ33 KNHC 070435 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Special Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132018 1000 PM PDT Mon Aug 06 2018 ...DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN EASTERN PACIFIC, NO THREAT TO LAND... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM PDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 124.3W ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM PDT (0500 UTC), the center of newly formed Tropical Depression Thirteen-E was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 124.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days with a turn toward the northwest forecast on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Tuesday and intensify slowly after that time. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2018-08-07 06:34:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 975 WTPZ23 KNHC 070434 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132018 0500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.3W AT 07/0500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 124.3W AT 07/0500Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 123.5W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.4N 125.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.4N 127.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.7N 128.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.2N 129.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 124.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number advisory tropical depression