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Hurricane Dorian Forecast Discussion Number 39

2019-09-03 04:52:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 000 WTNT45 KNHC 030252 TCDAT5 Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 39 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 Dorian continues to pummel Grand Bahama Island this evening. The hurricane still has an impressive presentation in satellite and radar images, however, there have been occasional dry slots observed in the western part of the eyewall. Both the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters provided excellent data in Dorian this evening, and based primarily on the flight-level wind data from the aircraft, the initial intensity of Dorian is set to 115 kt. The westernmost outer rain bands are reaching the east coast of south Florida and producing gusty winds. The major hurricane has been stationary much of the day. The reason the cyclone has moved very little is because it is caught in weak steering currents between high pressure ridges to its east and northwest and a trough to its north. This weak flow should result in a very slow and likely erratic northwest drift through at least early Tuesday. After that time, the models are in general agreement that the ridge to the east and trough to the north will amplify. This change in the steering pattern should cause Dorian to move a little faster to the north on Wednesday and to the northeast on Thursday and Friday. The NHC track forecast remains consistent and continues to show the core of Dorian offshore, but dangerously close to the east coast of the U.S. from Florida to North Carolina during the next 3 days or so. This track forecast is largely an update of the previous one and it is in good agreement with the various consensus models. Users are reminded that the hurricane is not a point, and that life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds extend far from the center. Regardless of the exact forecast track, Dorian is likely to produce strong winds and a life-threatening storm surge along a portion of the U.S. east coast from Florida through the Carolinas. The intensity models are in agreement that Dorian should slowly lose strength during the next several days due to a gradual increase in wind shear and perhaps drier air. Regardless of the details of the intensity forecast, the bottom line is that Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it tracks very near the east coast of the U.S. from Florida to North Carolina during the next few days. The NHC intensity forecast is the same as the previous one and close to the HCCA and IVCN guidance. Key Messages: 1. Devastating winds and storm surge will continue to affect Grand Bahama Island for several more hours. Everyone there should remain in shelter. 2. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast and the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina, regardless of the exact track of Dorian's center. Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of strong winds. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 3. The risk of life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds continues to increase along the coast of North Carolina. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials. 4. Heavy rains, capable of producing life-threatening flash floods, are expected over northern portions of the Bahamas and coastal sections of the southeast and lower mid-Atlantic regions of the United States through Friday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0300Z 26.9N 78.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 03/1200Z 27.1N 78.7W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 04/0000Z 27.9N 79.1W 110 KT 125 MPH 36H 04/1200Z 29.2N 79.7W 110 KT 125 MPH 48H 05/0000Z 30.6N 79.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 06/0000Z 33.7N 77.3W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 07/0000Z 38.0N 71.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 08/0000Z 45.4N 61.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Hurricane Dorian Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2019-09-03 04:49:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Tue, 03 Sep 2019 02:49:01 GMT

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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 39

2019-09-03 04:47:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 030247 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 53(53) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 54(54) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 54(54) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 59(59) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 57(58) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) ST JOHN NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) EASTPORT ME 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 21(36) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 24(44) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 9(28) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) X(28) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 1(36) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) X(24) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) X(17) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 24(33) X(33) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 26(36) X(36) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 28(38) 1(39) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 33(49) 1(50) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) X(19) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 7(26) X(26) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 15(37) X(37) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 36(83) X(83) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 44(59) X(59) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) X(33) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 5(43) X(43) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) X(15) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 50(53) 21(74) X(74) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 20(39) X(39) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 63(68) 17(85) X(85) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 26(60) X(60) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 22(36) X(36) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 65(71) 14(85) X(85) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 24(58) X(58) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 18(34) X(34) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 61(66) 10(76) X(76) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 9(40) X(40) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 62(68) 7(75) X(75) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 6(37) X(37) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 67(87) 3(90) X(90) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 58(59) 5(64) X(64) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 5(41) X(41) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 38(45) 3(48) X(48) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20(26) 2(28) X(28) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 63(73) 2(75) X(75) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 2(39) X(39) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 57(86) 2(88) X(88) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 50(53) 2(55) X(55) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 1(29) X(29) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 57(75) 1(76) X(76) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 1(42) X(42) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 25(30) 42(72) 1(73) X(73) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 35(40) X(40) X(40) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 28(34) 29(63) X(63) X(63) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) X(26) X(26) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 13(20) 1(21) X(21) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 20(55) 1(56) X(56) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) X(19) X(19) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 2( 3) 20(23) 28(51) 7(58) X(58) X(58) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 12(18) 8(26) X(26) X(26) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 4( 6) 48(54) 26(80) 4(84) X(84) X(84) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 11(11) 22(33) 5(38) X(38) X(38) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 2( 3) 21(24) 21(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 7(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 10(12) 56(68) 7(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) THE VILLAGES 34 1 3( 4) 17(21) 5(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) THE VILLAGES 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ORLANDO FL 34 2 14(16) 28(44) 3(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) ORLANDO FL 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COCOA BEACH FL 34 21 60(81) 11(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) COCOA BEACH FL 50 2 20(22) 24(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PATRICK AFB 34 7 54(61) 19(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) PATRICK AFB 50 1 8( 9) 18(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PATRICK AFB 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 73 21(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) FT PIERCE FL 50 4 32(36) 5(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) FT PIERCE FL 64 1 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 34 83 7(90) X(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) W PALM BEACH 50 7 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) W PALM BEACH 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 46 9(55) 2(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) FT LAUDERDALE 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT LAUDERDALE 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MIAMI FL 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MARATHON FL 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KEY WEST FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NAPLES FL 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) VENICE FL 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TAMPA FL 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 6(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 14 4(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ANDROS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Dorian Update Statement

2019-09-03 03:55:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 000 WTNT65 KNHC 030155 TCUAT5 Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1000 PM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DORIAN REMAINS STATIONARY AND CONTINUES TO THRASH GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... Residents should remain in shelter on Grand Bahama Island as they are currently experiencing the eyewall of Dorian. Residents in the Abacos should also continue to stay in their shelter until conditions subside later tonight. Hazards: - Wind Gusts to 165 mph - Storm Surge 12 to 18 feet above normal tide levels with higher destructive waves These hazards will continue over Grand Bahama Island through Tuesday morning, causing extreme destruction on the island. SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 78.4W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES $$ Forecaster Latto/Cangialosi

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Summary for Hurricane Dorian (AT5/AL052019)

2019-09-03 03:55:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DORIAN REMAINS STATIONARY AND CONTINUES TO THRASH GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... As of 10:00 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 the center of Dorian was located near 26.8, -78.4 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 942 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 140 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane at5al052019 dorian

 

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