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Hurricane Dorian Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics

2019-09-02 11:54:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Mon, 02 Sep 2019 09:54:12 GMT

Hurricane Dorian Graphics

2019-09-02 10:53:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 02 Sep 2019 08:53:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 02 Sep 2019 09:25:00 GMT

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Hurricane Dorian Forecast Discussion Number 36

2019-09-02 10:52:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 000 WTNT45 KNHC 020852 TCDAT5 Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 500 AM EDT Mon Sep 02 2019 Satellite imagery continues to show that Dorian has an extremely well-defined eye embedded within very cold cloud tops. The diameter of the eye appears to have expanded to near 20 n mi, and radar data, especially from the Bahamas Department of Meteorology radar, show that there are concentric eyewalls. The hurricane also continues to exhibit strong upper-tropospheric outflow. The initial intensity estimate has been reduced to 145 kt, which lies between earlier Hurricane Hunter estimates and satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB. This lowering of intensity is consistent with the development of a concentric eyewall. During the next few days, Dorian should be encountering some increase in shear, which will likely result in weakening. However it is anticipated that the system will remain a dangerous major hurricane for the next several days. The official intensity forecast lies between the statistical-dynamical guidance and the corrected multi-model consensus. Steering currents have weakened, and Dorian has almost come to a standstill over eastern Grand Bahama Island, with an initial motion of 270/1 kt. The mid-tropospheric high to the north of the hurricane that had been steering Dorian westward has collapsed. Global models indicate that, in a couple of days, a weakness in the ridge will develop along 75W-80W. This would likely cause Dorian to move northwestward to northward toward and through this weakness. Later in the forecast period, the system is expected to accelerate northeastward on the southern side of a broad mid-tropospheric trough. The official track forecast is very close to the previous one and to the corrected dynamical model consensus, HCCA. Although the official forecast does not show Dorian making landfall along the Florida east coast, it is still possible for the hurricane to deviate from this forecast, and move very near or over the coast. Users are reminded not to focus on the exact forecast track. Key Messages: 1. A prolonged period of catastrophic winds and storm surge will continue to affect Grand Bahama Island through today and tonight. Everyone there should remain in shelter and not venture into the eye. 2. Life-threatening storm surges and dangerous hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast through mid-week, and storm surge and hurricane warnings are in effect. Only a slight deviation to the left of the official forecast would bring the core of Dorian near or over the Florida east coast. Residents should listen to advice given by local emergency officials. 3. There is an increasing likelihood of strong winds and dangerous storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week. Residents in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian and listen to advice given by local emergency officials. 4. Heavy rains, capable of producing life-threatening flash floods, are expected over northern portions of the Bahamas and coastal sections of the Southeast and lower Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States into Friday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0900Z 26.6N 78.2W 145 KT 165 MPH 12H 02/1800Z 26.7N 78.7W 140 KT 160 MPH 24H 03/0600Z 26.9N 79.0W 130 KT 150 MPH 36H 03/1800Z 27.6N 79.5W 120 KT 140 MPH 48H 04/0600Z 28.7N 80.0W 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 05/0600Z 31.3N 79.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 06/0600Z 34.5N 76.5W 85 KT 100 MPH 120H 07/0600Z 38.5N 70.0W 75 KT 85 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36

2019-09-02 10:52:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 02 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 020851 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC MON SEP 02 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145 KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 24(34) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 14(29) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 16(32) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 15(41) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 2(23) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 4(30) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 46(50) 20(70) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 14(40) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) 2(37) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 46(51) 8(59) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 5(25) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 51(62) 9(71) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 8(42) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 5(23) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 52(64) 7(71) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 8(42) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 49(58) 4(62) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 48(60) 3(63) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 1(29) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 41(75) 1(76) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 43(48) 1(49) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 27(42) 1(43) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) X(29) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 44(65) 2(67) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 1(32) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 40(43) 33(76) 2(78) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 35(46) X(46) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 35(70) X(70) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 27(36) X(36) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 42(47) 24(71) 1(72) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 21(35) X(35) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 43(49) 15(64) X(64) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 10(27) 1(28) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 9(24) X(24) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 40(48) 11(59) X(59) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) X(22) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 19(24) 41(65) 4(69) X(69) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 24(28) 1(29) X(29) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 26(35) 4(39) X(39) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 2( 4) 9(13) 36(49) 37(86) 2(88) X(88) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 38(51) 2(53) X(53) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 2(27) X(27) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 20(26) 37(63) 2(65) X(65) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20(24) 1(25) X(25) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 17(24) 20(44) 3(47) X(47) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 25(29) 41(70) 16(86) 1(87) X(87) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 20(51) 1(52) X(52) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 1(19) X(19) THE VILLAGES 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 24(37) 14(51) 1(52) X(52) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 2 6( 8) 35(43) 24(67) 8(75) 1(76) X(76) ORLANDO FL 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) 9(33) X(33) X(33) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) COCOA BEACH FL 34 10 44(54) 36(90) 7(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 1 5( 6) 41(47) 28(75) 6(81) X(81) X(81) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 1( 1) 19(20) 27(47) 7(54) X(54) X(54) PATRICK AFB 34 4 25(29) 47(76) 16(92) 3(95) X(95) X(95) PATRICK AFB 50 1 1( 2) 30(32) 27(59) 6(65) X(65) X(65) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) FT PIERCE FL 34 63 27(90) 9(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 2 29(31) 43(74) 10(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) FT PIERCE FL 64 1 6( 7) 34(41) 12(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) W PALM BEACH 34 89 9(98) 1(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 13 41(54) 17(71) 3(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) W PALM BEACH 64 1 13(14) 15(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) FT LAUDERDALE 34 71 20(91) 3(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) FT LAUDERDALE 50 5 22(27) 8(35) 1(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) FT LAUDERDALE 64 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MIAMI FL 34 14 25(39) 7(46) 3(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) MIAMI FL 50 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MIAMI FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 4 14(18) 6(24) 4(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARATHON FL 34 2 5( 7) 4(11) 3(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) KEY WEST FL 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) NAPLES FL 34 2 3( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) NAPLES FL 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 2 3( 5) 8(13) 6(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) FT MYERS FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 6(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 10(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 15(25) 16(41) 2(43) X(43) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 28 13(41) 3(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 3 3( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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