je.st

Home › sixteene

Tag: sixteene

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2015-09-21 16:36:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2015 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 211436 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number speed wind tropical

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 4

2015-09-21 16:36:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2015 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 211436 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 112.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 112.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 112.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 31.7N 111.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 34.6N 109.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 112.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tags: number advisory tropical depression

Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162015)

2015-09-21 16:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION MAKES LANDFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES... As of 9:00 AM MDT Mon Sep 21 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 29.2, -112.1 with movement NNE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 4

2015-09-21 16:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 211436 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 900 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2015 ...DEPRESSION MAKES LANDFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 112.1W ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM N OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the central portion of the Baja California peninsula and extreme northwestern mainland Mexico should monitor the progress of the depression. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen-E was located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 112.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to move across extreme northwestern Mexico today, and move into southern Arizona tonight or early Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast and the depression will likely degenerate to a remnant low later today or tonight. During the past couple of hours, a wind gust to 41 MPH...66 KM/H, was reported at Guaymas, in the Mexican state of Sonora. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches across the northern Baja California peninsula, the northwestern Mexican state of Sonora, and Arizona and New Mexico. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Baja California and Sonora, Mexico. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible in Arizona and New Mexico. 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected over portions of southern California through Tuesday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible across the Gulf of California and extreme northwestern mainland Mexico today, especially in areas of higher terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: number public advisory tropical