je.st
news
Tag: sixteene
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2014-09-12 22:39:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 122039 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
2014-09-12 22:39:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 122039 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 2100 UTC FRI SEP 12 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 119.1W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 119.1W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 119.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.7N 118.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.4N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.9N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 119.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Graphics
2014-09-12 17:20:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 12 Sep 2014 14:48:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 12 Sep 2014 15:08:18 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Discussion Number 5
2014-09-12 16:46:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 121446 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 800 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 2014 CORRECTED SPELLING IN FIRST PARAGRAPH. The center of the tropical cyclone is very difficult to find on geostationary images, but an SSMI image from 1056 UTC indicated that it continued to be located near the northeastern edge of the main area of deep convection. However, first-light visible pictures suggest that the low-level circulation is poorly defined. The current intensity estimate is 30 kt which is consistent with the latest Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB, although this may be generous. The unfavorable influence of the much larger circulation of Tropical Storm Odile, centered about 800 n mi to the east of the depression, should prevent significant strengthening. As in our previous forecast reasoning, it is expected that the depression will dissipate in a few days, if not sooner, by being absorbed by Odile. This is similar to the previous NHC forecast. Given the difficulty in fixing the center, the initial motion estimate is a rather uncertain 360/2 kt. An eastward motion is likely to commence within a day or so while the tropical cyclone begins to become entrained into Odile's circulation. Some increase in forward speed is likely in a couple of days as Odile exerts an increasing influence on the steering of the depression. The latest official forecast is mainly a blend of the GFS and ECMWF forecast tracks, with the former showing a more eastward motion and the latter significantly slower. This is somewhat slower than the previous NHC track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1500Z 16.6N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/0000Z 16.5N 119.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1200Z 16.2N 118.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 14/0000Z 15.7N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 14/1200Z 15.0N 116.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162014)
2014-09-12 16:38:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Fri Sep 12 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 16.6, -120.0 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Sites : [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] next »