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Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162014)
2014-09-13 10:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Sep 13 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 16.5, -117.5 with movement ESE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Graphics
2014-09-13 05:20:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Sep 2014 02:43:22 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Sep 2014 03:08:23 GMT
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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Forecast Discussion Number 7
2014-09-13 04:55:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 2014 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 130255 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 800 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 2014 Tropical Depression Sixteen-E has become poorly organized this evening. Deep convection is limited to an amorphous blob on the western side of the increasingly elongated low-level wind center. The initial intensity for this advisory has been held at 30 kt based on the Dvorak classification from TAFB. The recent disruption of the circulation is primarily due to the proximity of the depression to Tropical Storm Odile, located about 800 n mi to the east. As a result, the environment around the depression consists of increasing wind shear in the vertical and horizontal. The environment is expected to become even more unfavorable while the depression moves closer to Odile. All of the global and regional dynamical models forecast that the depression will open up into a trough within 36 hours, and some suggest that this could occur much sooner than that. The cyclone is beginning to accelerate toward the east and the initial motion is 110/05. The models remain in good agreement that the depression, or its remnants, will accelerate toward Odile on a nearly straight line until dissipation. No substantial changes were made to the track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0300Z 16.6N 118.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/1200Z 16.4N 117.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/0000Z 16.0N 115.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Beven
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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2014-09-13 04:43:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 130243 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162014 0300 UTC SAT SEP 13 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN
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Summary for Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E (EP1/EP162014)
2014-09-13 04:42:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Sep 12 the center of SIXTEEN-E was located near 16.6, -118.1 with movement ESE at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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