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Remnants of Rene Forecast Advisory Number 31

2020-09-14 22:31:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 142031 TCMAT3 REMNANTS OF RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 2100 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 49.3W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 49.3W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 49.0W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 49.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Depression Rene Graphics

2020-09-14 16:53:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 14 Sep 2020 14:53:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 14 Sep 2020 15:32:28 GMT

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Tropical Depression Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30

2020-09-14 16:51:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 437 FONT13 KNHC 141451 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 30

2020-09-14 16:51:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 141451 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020 Deep convection continues to pulse over the eastern portion of Rene's circulation, enough to maintain the system's status as a tropical cyclone. However, recent visible statellite imagery suggest that the circulation may not be as well defined as it was yesterday. Satellite classifications support an initial wind speed of 25 kt. Strong west-northwesterly shear and dry air are expected to cause the depression to weaken and degenerate into a remnant low within the next 12-24 hours. The global models show the low-level circulation dissipating within 2 to 3 days and so does the official forecast. Rene has moved very little overnight but a west-southwestward or southwestward motion within the low-level steering flow should begin soon. That general motion is expected to continue until dissipation in a day or two. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/1500Z 27.5N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 15/0000Z 27.0N 49.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 15/1200Z 26.4N 50.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0000Z 25.5N 51.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1200Z 24.6N 53.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

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Summary for Tropical Depression Rene (AT3/AL182020)

2020-09-14 16:51:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...RENE CONTINUES TO HANG ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 11:00 AM AST Mon Sep 14 the center of Rene was located near 27.5, -48.3 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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