je.st
news
Tag: rene
Tropical Depression Rene Public Advisory Number 23
2020-09-12 22:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 122033 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rene Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 ...RENE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 45.6W ABOUT 1200 MI...1935 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rene was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 45.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected by Sunday, and a slow westward motion is forecast by Sunday night. On Monday and Tuesday, the system is forecast to turn west-southwestward. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is possible over the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2020-09-12 22:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 122033 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Advisory Number 23
2020-09-12 22:32:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 122032 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.6W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.6W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.6N 46.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.9N 47.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 27.4N 48.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.2N 48.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 26.7N 49.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.8N 51.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.7N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 45.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-12 17:00:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 15:00:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 15:00:10 GMT
Tags: graphics
tropical
depression
rene
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 22
2020-09-12 16:58:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 121458 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 The deep convection associated with Rene has gradually decreased over the past several hours, with only a few sporadic patches remaining. A recent ASCAT overpass showed peak winds of 28 kt in the northeastern quadrant, while the latest Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB suggest the system is 30 kt. Therefore the initial intensity is being lowered to 30 kt. The depression is forecast to battle dry air for the next several days, with SHIPS guidance indicating that the mid-level relative humidity will decrease to under 40 percent in a few days. Also, it appears that there will be increasing subsidence over the system starting in a couple of days due to a ridge building to the northwest of the cyclone. Neither of these conditions bode well for maintaining organized deep convection. And, with it anticipated that the depression will struggle to maintain convection it is expected to slowly spin down over the next several days. The official forecast shows Rene degenerating into a remnant low in 5 days, but that timing is low confidence, as the system may generate just enough convection over warm waters to continue to be classified as a tropical cyclone longer than that. The alternative scenario is that the system could become a remnant low or open into a trough even sooner. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one mainly due to the decrease in initial intensity, and is in good agreement with the various intensity consensus values. Rene continues to move northwestward, now at 11 kt. A northwestward motion around the western periphery of a mid-level ridge over the eastern Atlantic should continue into tonight. On Sunday, Rene is forecast to slow down as the ridge builds to the northwest and north of the cyclone. By Tuesday, Rene is expected to turn westward and then west-southwestward to southwestward under the influence of the building ridge. The NHC track forecast is very little changed from the previous one, and is near the middle of the track guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1500Z 23.2N 44.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/0000Z 24.5N 45.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1200Z 26.0N 47.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 14/0000Z 27.0N 47.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 14/1200Z 27.3N 48.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 15/0000Z 27.0N 48.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 72H 15/1200Z 26.3N 49.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 96H 16/1200Z 25.0N 52.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 120H 17/1200Z 24.0N 56.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] next »