je.st
news
Tag: rene
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 26
2020-09-13 17:02:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 131502 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 Sporadic small areas of convection continue to fire off around the circulation of Rene, only to dissipate shortly thereafter. A recent ASCAT overpass showed an area of 20 to 25 kt winds in the eastern semicircle. Therefore, the initial intensity will remain 25 kt. The dry environment surrounding Rene will only get drier over the next couple of days. That, along with increasing subsidence over the cyclone should eventually cause Rene to become a remnant low. There is no change to the previous forecast intensity or timing of the system becoming a remnant low, which is consistent with the global models. Rene is beginning to slow down as a ridge starts to build to the north and northwest of the cyclone. This slowing trend should continue through tonight. Late Monday through Tuesday, a turn to the west then southwest should occur as whatever remains of the system becomes steered by the larger circulation of Tropical Depression Twenty to its southwest. There is little change to the previous track forecast, and the latest NHC forecast lies near the various multi-model track consensus guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 26.8N 47.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 14/0000Z 27.5N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 14/1200Z 27.6N 48.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 15/0000Z 27.3N 49.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 15/1200Z 26.7N 50.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 16/0000Z 26.1N 51.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Tropical Depression Rene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2020-09-13 17:02:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 131502 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-13 17:01:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...POORLY ORGANIZED RENE SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 13 the center of Rene was located near 26.8, -47.6 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
rene
Tropical Depression Rene Public Advisory Number 26
2020-09-13 17:01:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 131501 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rene Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020 ...POORLY ORGANIZED RENE SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.8N 47.6W ABOUT 1150 MI...1855 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rene was located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 47.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected by tonight. By late Monday through Tuesday, the system is forecast to move southwestward. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Rene should slowly weaken over the next couple of days and is forecast to become a remnant low on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Advisory Number 26
2020-09-13 17:01:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 131501 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 47.6W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 47.6W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 47.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 48.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.6N 48.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 27.3N 49.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.7N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.1N 51.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.8N 47.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] next »