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Tropical Depression Rene Public Advisory Number 24
2020-09-13 04:33:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 130233 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Rene Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 ...RENE WEAKENS AND IS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 46.4W ABOUT 1175 MI...1895 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rene was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 46.4 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected on Sunday, and a slow westward motion is forecast by Sunday night. On Monday and Tuesday, the system is forecast to move west-southwestward. Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Rene should slowly weaken over the next few days and is forecast to become a remnant low on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Advisory Number 24
2020-09-13 04:33:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 130233 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION RENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 46.4W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 46.4W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 46.1W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.4N 47.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.3N 48.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 27.4N 48.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 27.2N 49.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.5N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 46.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Tropical Depression Rene Forecast Discussion Number 23
2020-09-12 22:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 122034 TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Rene Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 A fragmented band of deep convection has recently developed over the northern portion of the circulation, but the associated cloud tops are already warming, suggesting that dry air is continuing to hinder development. Dvorak classifications of T2.0 (30 kt) from both TAFB and SAB, and the earlier ASCAT data are the basis for the 30-kt initial intensity. The depression is expected to remain within an area of dry mid-level air and increasing west- northwesterly shear on Sunday, and these factors are likely to contribute to gradual weakening over the next couple of days. While the shear is forecast to abate later in the period, the SHIPS guidance indicates mid-level relative humidity values of 30-40 percent, which suggest weakening is likely to continue. The global models also weaken the system with the UK and ECMWF showing dissipation within 4-5 days. The new NHC intensity forecast is again lowered from before and now calls for Rene to become a remnant low in 72 h and dissipate by day 5. Both of these events, however, could occur much sooner. Rene is moving northwestward at about 12 kt. A blocking ridge of high pressure is forecast to build to the northwest of Rene on Sunday which is expected to considerably slow the forward progress of the cyclone. As the ridge continues to shift eastward and build, Rene or its remnants are forecast to turn west-southwestward in the low-level steering flow early next week. The overall guidance envelope as changed little from this morning, and the new NHC track forecast is essentially an update of the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 24.3N 45.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 25.6N 46.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 26.9N 47.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 14/0600Z 27.4N 48.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 14/1800Z 27.2N 48.8W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 15/0600Z 26.7N 49.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 72H 15/1800Z 25.8N 51.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 16/1800Z 24.7N 54.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Rene Graphics
2020-09-12 22:34:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 20:34:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 12 Sep 2020 21:32:35 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Rene (AT3/AL182020)
2020-09-12 22:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RENE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 12 the center of Rene was located near 24.3, -45.6 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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