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Remnants of Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 54
2018-10-12 22:30:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 122030 TCMEP1 REMNANTS OF SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 54 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 109.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Depression Sergio Graphics
2018-10-12 19:48:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 12 Oct 2018 17:48:09 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 12 Oct 2018 15:33:55 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-12 19:47:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 12:00 PM MDT Fri Oct 12 the center of Sergio was located near 28.4, -111.0 with movement NE at 24 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Sergio Public Advisory Number 53A
2018-10-12 19:47:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 12 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 121747 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 53A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1200 PM MDT Fri Oct 12 2018 ...SERGIO HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.4N 111.0W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all the Tropical Storm Warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northwestern Mexico should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sergio was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 111.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, Sergio or its remnants will continue to move over northwestern Mexico later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Sergio is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low while moving over northwestern Mexico later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over northwestern Mexico. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous terrain. Moisture from Sergio will affect the United States, with total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico toward the southern Plains through Saturday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding. WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are still occuring primarily to the north and east of the track of Sergio. These winds will continue to diminish today. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio could still affect much of the Baja California peninsula today and the Sea of Cortez, likely causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Summary for Tropical Storm Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-12 17:45:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO ENTERING THE SEA OF CORTEZ... ...STRONG GUSTY WINDS STILL OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INCREASING ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO... As of 9:00 AM MDT Fri Oct 12 the center of Sergio was located near 27.5, -111.9 with movement NE at 24 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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