je.st
news
Tag: number
Tropical Storm Hanna Public Advisory Number 5A
2020-07-24 07:35:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 240535 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hanna Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 100 AM CDT Fri Jul 24 2020 ...HANNA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD TEXAS... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.4N 91.8W ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mouth of the Rio Grande to San Luis Pass Texas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Luis Pass to High Island Texas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests along the Texas and Louisiana coast should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 91.8 West. Hanna is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and a west-northwestward to westward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the storm is expected to move across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico today and tonight, and make landfall along the Texas coast on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected until the system makes landfall. Steady weakening is expected after Hanna moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Hanna can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area by tonight or Saturday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight or Saturday morning. RAINFALL: Hanna is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches through Monday along the Gulf Coast of the United States from Louisiana to south Texas, and inland to the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain may result in life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and isolated minor to moderate river flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Hanna are expected to increase and affect much of the Texas and Louisiana coasts during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Hanna Public Advisory Number 5
2020-07-24 05:04:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 240303 CCA TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 5...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 Corrected headline ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT THE GULF DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM HANNA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED SOUTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.2N 91.4W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended southward from Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mouth of the Rio Grande to San Luis Pass Texas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * San Luis Pass to High Island Texas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests along the Texas and Louisiana coast should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical Storm Warnings may be required for portions of the Watch area later today. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 91.4 West. Hanna is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and a west-northwestward to westward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the storm is expected to move across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico on Friday and make landfall along the Texas coast on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected until the system makes landfall. Steady weakening is expected after Hanna moves inland. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Hanna can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area by Friday night or Saturday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Friday night or Saturday morning. RAINFALL: Hanna is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches through Monday along the Gulf Coast of the United States from Louisiana to south Texas, and inland to the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, and northern Tamaulipas. This rain may result in life-threatening flash flooding, rapid rises on small streams, and isolated minor to moderate river flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Hanna are expected to increase and affect much of the Texas and Louisiana coasts during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-07-24 04:58:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 240257 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020 The system continues to organize with curved bands becoming better established around the center. The cyclone certainly has the appearance of a tropical storm, and just minutes ago the NOAA Hurricane Hunters found winds to support upgrading the system to a 35-kt tropical storm. Data from the aircraft also show that the minimum pressure has dropped to 1002 mb, indicating that the system is on a developing trend. Hanna is moving fairly slowly to the west-northwest, with the latest initial motion estimated to be 285/6 kt. This west-northwest motion should continue on Friday, but a turn to the west is expected by Friday night as a subtropical ridge strengthens to the north of the cyclone. This steering flow should take the center of the storm across the southern Texas coast in 36 to 48 hours. After landfall, the storm is forecast to turn south of west across extreme southern Texas and northern Mexico. The models have shifted southward again this cycle, and the NHC track forecast has been adjusted in that direction. Additional strengthening seems quite likely until the storm makes landfall since it is expected to remain over the very warm Gulf of Mexico waters and in generally low wind shear conditions. After landfall, steady weakening should commence, and the cyclone should dissipate over the rugged terrain of northern Mexico in about 4 days. The NHC intensity forecast is a little above the previous one and at the high end of the guidance given the system's well organized structure and favorable environment. Due to the southward shift in the track forecast, the tropical storm warning has been extended southward from Port Mansfield to the Mouth of the Rio Grande. Tropical Storm Hanna is the earliest 8th storm on record. The previous record was in 2005 when Harvey formed on August 3rd. Key Messages 1. Hanna is forecast to strengthen and it is expected to bring tropical-storm-force winds to portions of the Texas coast, where a tropical storm warning is in effect. 2. Hanna is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of Louisiana, southern Texas, and northern Mexico. These rains could result in flash flooding and isolated minor-to-moderate river flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0300Z 26.2N 91.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 24/1200Z 26.6N 92.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 25/0000Z 27.1N 94.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 25/1200Z 27.2N 96.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 26/0000Z 27.2N 97.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 60H 26/1200Z 27.0N 99.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 72H 27/0000Z 26.5N 100.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 96H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Advisory Number 5
2020-07-24 04:56:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020 990 WTNT23 KNHC 240256 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082020 0300 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD FROM PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN LUIS PASS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 91.4W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 91.4W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 91.0W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.6N 92.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.1N 94.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 27.2N 96.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.2N 97.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.0N 99.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 26.5N 100.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 91.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Hurricane Douglas Forecast Discussion Number 15
2020-07-24 04:44:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 500 PM HST Thu Jul 23 2020 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 240243 TCDEP3 Hurricane Douglas Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082020 500 PM HST Thu Jul 23 2020 Douglas remains a well organized hurricane in visible and infrared satellite imagery. The 15-nmi-wide eye remains very distinct and the surrounding cloud tops have cooled since the previous advisory. Although not evident in conventional satellite imagery, a recent AMSR-2 microwave satellite image showed evidence of concentric eyewalls. Subjective Dvorak T-numbers from TAFB and SAB are 6.0 (115 kt) and recent UW/CIMSS ADT estimates have been creeping upward, and now also close to T6.0. Based on these estimates, the initial wind speed has been raised to 115 kt, making Douglas a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Douglas has likely reached its peak intensity as it will be moving over cooler SSTs during the next day or so. Although the predicted track of the hurricane will bring it over warmer waters when Douglas approaches the Hawaiian Islands, vertical shear is forecast to increase at that time. This is expected to result in continued gradual weakening, however Douglas is forecast to be near hurricane strength when it moves close to Hawaii. Despite the slight increase in the initial intensity, the updated NHC wind speed forecast is unchanged from the previous advisory through 36 hours, and then follows the intensity consensus guidance thereafter. Douglas continues moving quickly west-northwestward or 295/16 kt. The hurricane is forecast to remain on this heading with some slight reduction in forward speed during the next day or so as it remains to the south of a large mid-level ridge. After that time, Douglas is forecast to turn westward to the south of another strong mid-level ridge the is predicted to build well north of the Hawaiian Islands later in the weekend. The new NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous advisory and lies just south of the various consensus aids out of respect of the ECMWF and its ensemble mean which lie along the southern edge of the track envelope. Key Messages: 1. Douglas is expected to move near or over portions of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend, and there is an increasing chance that strong winds, dangerous surf, and heavy rainfall could affect portions of the state beginning Saturday night or Sunday. Interests on the Hawaiian Islands should continue to monitor the progress of Douglas and the official forecasts as they evolve over the next few days. Watches could be issued on Friday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0300Z 14.9N 138.8W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 24/1200Z 15.9N 141.2W 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 25/0000Z 17.1N 144.3W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 25/1200Z 18.2N 147.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 26/0000Z 19.2N 150.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 26/1200Z 20.0N 153.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 27/0000Z 20.5N 156.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 28/0000Z 21.3N 161.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 120H 29/0000Z 21.8N 168.5W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
douglas
forecast
Sites : [1208] [1209] [1210] [1211] [1212] [1213] [1214] [1215] [1216] [1217] [1218] [1219] [1220] [1221] [1222] [1223] [1224] [1225] [1226] [1227] next »