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Tropical Storm Sally Public Advisory Number 5A
2020-09-13 01:39:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 122339 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sally Intermediate Advisory Number 5A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 82.5W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM W OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne * Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida Border to Ochlockonee River Florida A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sally was located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 82.5 West. Sally is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a west-northwestward or northwestward motion is expected through Monday. On Monday night and Tuesday, a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the north are forecast. On the forecast track, the center of Sally will move over the southeastern and eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Sunday, move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and Monday, and approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the hurricane watch area late Monday and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected over the next couple of days, and Sally is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. Marco Island, Florida, recently reported a sustained wind of 31 mph (50 km/h) and wind gust of 39 mph (63 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Sally can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...6-9 ft Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL Border...4-6 ft MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border, including Mobile Bay...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...2-4 ft AL/FL Border to Chassahowitzka, FL, including Pensacola Bay, Choctawhatchee Bay, and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by early Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area by Monday. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible across the southern portion of the Florida peninsula through this evening, especially over the Florida Keys. RAINFALL: Sally is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over southern Florida and the Florida Keys through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected along the west coast of Florida through Sunday. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding across southern Florida and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across central Florida. Sally is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches across the Florida Panhandle, and 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches over the central Gulf Coast from Sunday into the middle of next week. Sally is expected to be a slow moving system that will continue to produce heavy rainfall and considerable flooding near the central Gulf Coast through the middle of next week. Flash, urban and rapid onset flooding along small streams and minor to moderate flooding on rivers is likely. SURF: Swells are expected to spread northward along the west- central coast of Florida and reach the Florida Panhandle and the northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A tornado or two are possible through tonight over south Florida. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Depression Twenty Forecast Discussion Number 1
2020-09-12 23:03:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 122103 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Twenty Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020 500 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020 The tropical wave and associated area of low pressure that NHC has been tracking since it emerged off of Africa a couple of days ago has become sufficiently organized to be designated as a tropical depression. A curved band of deep convection developed early this morning and persisted just to the west of a well-defined low level circulation throughout the day. An earlier ASCAT overpass showed that 25-30 kt winds over the northwestern portion of the circulation, which is the basis for the initial intensity being set at 30 kt. The depression has a rather large circulation, with the radius of maximum winds nearly 100 n mi from the center and the overall wind field appearing to extend outward over 300 n mi. The environment surrounding the cyclone over the next 36 h is characterized by moderate northeasterly vertical wind shear and plenty of warm water and atmospheric moisture. These factors are supportive of gradual strengthening, however, due to the large size of the system, it may take some time for it to consolidate. The NHC intensity forecast shows only slight strengthening through 36 h as the system consolidates, and that portion of the forecast is well below the intensity guidance. By early next week, the wind shear is expected to decrease to under 10 kt and a faster rate of intensification is indicated from 36-96 h in anticipation of the cyclone having a better structure to take advantage of the lower shear. After 96 h the intensity is held steady as northwesterly shear is forecast to increase while the system encounters some slightly drier air and moves over lower oceanic heat content. The NHC intensity forecast beyond 36 h starts well below most of the guidance, and trends close to the IVCN/ICON later on in the forecast period. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest at 8 kt, steered by a mid-level ridge to its north. This ridge is forecast to build westward over the next few days, which should result in a continued general west-northwest motion, perhaps at a slightly faster forward speed early next week. By the middle of next week, a weakness is forecast to develop in the ridge, partially due to interaction of Paulette and a mid- to- upper level trough over the northern Atlantic at that time, and the cyclone should turn to the northwest into this weakness. Overall, track guidance from the global and regional models is in decent agreement on this scenario, and the NHC forecast is between the HFIP corrected consensus HCCA and the TVCN multimodel consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 11.4N 33.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 11.5N 34.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 12.1N 36.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 14/0600Z 12.8N 38.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 14/1800Z 13.3N 40.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 60H 15/0600Z 14.0N 42.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 15/1800Z 15.0N 44.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 16/1800Z 17.7N 47.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 17/1800Z 21.0N 49.7W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Sally Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-09-12 22:56:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 122056 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Sally Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 Sally continues to gradually become better organized, with developing convective banding features primarily over the southern portion of the circulation at this time. Upper-level outflow is still rather limited over the northern semicircle, possibly due to a weak upper low near the Georgia/Florida border. The latter feature is likely to soon move away from the area, however. Based on earlier scatterometer passes that showed tropical-storm-force winds over the Straits of Florida, the advisory intensity remains 35 kt. With very warm waters and a moist tropospheric environment ahead of Sally, strengthening seems likely. Some increase in westerly shear over the northern Gulf in 48-72 hours could at least slow down the intensification process around that time. The official intensity forecast is not far from the latest model consensus and a little above the previous forecast. Fixes from an Air Force Hurricane Hurricane aircraft, radar, satellite, and surface observations indicate a slow, generally westward motion of about 280/6 kt. A weakening mid-level high pressure system to the northeast of Sally should cause a generally west-northwestward to northwestward motion for the next few days. Because of the weakening steering currents, the cyclone should move rather slowly while it approaches the northern Gulf Coast. However, there is expected to be enough of a narrow north-south oriented ridge to the east of Sally in 3-4 days to steer the cyclone northward across the coast. The official track forecast has been nudged just slightly west of the previous one and lies between the simple and corrected dynamical track model consensus predictions. Users are reminded to not focus on the exact details of the track or intensity forecast as the average NHC track error at 96 h is around 150 miles and the average intensity error is around 15 mph. In addition, winds, storm surge, and rainfall hazards will extend far from the center. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Life threatening storm surge is possible along the Gulf Coast beginning on Monday, and a Storm Surge Watch is in effect for areas outside the southeast Louisiana Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida border. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Hurricane conditions are possible by early Tuesday from Grand Isle, Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border, including Metropolitan New Orleans, with tropical storm conditions possible by Monday. 3. Sally is expected to produce flash flooding across portions of southern Florida and prolong existing minor river flooding across central Florida through Sunday. Flash, urban, and minor to moderate river flooding is likely across portions of the central Gulf Coast from Sunday through the middle of next week. 4. Tropical storm conditions are possible early next week in portions of the Florida Panhandle, where a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force could occur over portions of the southern Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys this evening. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/2100Z 25.7N 81.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 13/0600Z 26.4N 83.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 13/1800Z 27.3N 85.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 14/0600Z 28.0N 86.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 14/1800Z 28.5N 88.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 15/0600Z 29.0N 89.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 15/1800Z 29.7N 89.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 16/1800Z 31.1N 89.2W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND 120H 17/1800Z 33.1N 87.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Sally Public Advisory Number 5
2020-09-12 22:49:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 000 WTNT34 KNHC 122048 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sally Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192020 500 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020 ...SALLY MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA... ...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.7N 81.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, Lake Borgne, and Mobile Bay. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans. The Tropical Storm watch has been extended westward from the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to the Alabama/Florida Border. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Alabama/Florida Border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne * Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida Border to Ochlockonee River Florida A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sally was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 81.9 West. Sally is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight. A west-northwestward or northwestward motion is then expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center is forecast to move over the southeastern and eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Sunday, and then move over the north-central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected over the next couple of days, and Sally is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...6-9 ft Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL Border...4-6 ft MS/AL Border to AL/FL Border, including Mobile Bay...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...2-4 ft AL/FL Border to Chassahowitzka, FL, including Pensacola Bay, Choctawhatchee Bay, and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area by early Tuesday, with tropical storm conditions possible within the watch area by Monday. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are possible across the southern portion of the Florida peninsula through this evening, especially over the Florida Keys. RAINFALL: Sally is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches over southern Florida and the Florida Keys through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected along the west coast of Florida through Sunday. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding across southern Florida and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across central Florida. Sally is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches across the Florida Panhandle, and 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches over the Central Gulf Coast from Sunday into the middle of next week. Sally is expected to be a slow moving system that will continue to produce heavy rainfall and considerable flooding near the central Gulf Coast through the middle of next week. Flash, urban and rapid onset flooding along small streams and minor to moderate flooding on rivers is likely. SURF: Swells are expected to spread northward along the west- central coast of Florida and reach the Florida Panhandle and the northern Gulf Coast during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through tonight over south Florida. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Sally Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-09-12 22:48:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 122048 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM SALLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) MARATHON FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NAPLES FL 34 13 X(13) 1(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) FT MYERS FL 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) VENICE FL 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 2(10) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) 1(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 3(14) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 2(13) APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 7(22) 4(26) 3(29) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) 6(24) 6(30) 3(33) 2(35) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 8(26) 6(32) 2(34) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 9(19) 9(28) 4(32) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 7(11) 5(16) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 12(15) 7(22) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 13(21) 6(27) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 12(32) 5(37) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 14(26) 11(37) 4(41) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 2( 2) 45(47) 20(67) 6(73) 2(75) 1(76) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 17(31) 6(37) 1(38) 1(39) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 22(33) 14(47) 4(51) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 3(18) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 30(44) 12(56) 4(60) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) 2(25) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 32(44) 13(57) 4(61) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 9(25) 2(27) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 32(55) 8(63) 3(66) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 7(30) 2(32) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 36(52) 19(71) 3(74) 1(75) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 15(36) 5(41) 1(42) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 3(18) X(18) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 22(33) 5(38) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 32(42) 13(55) 4(59) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 9(25) 2(27) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 23(36) 10(46) 2(48) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 6(17) 1(18) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 14(40) 3(43) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 24(29) 13(42) 3(45) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 1(17) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 3(25) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 14(30) 3(33) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 13(32) 3(35) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 3(19) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 10(17) 2(19) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 8(19) 2(21) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 22(32) 15(47) 9(56) 2(58) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 2(19) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 25(31) 26(57) 9(66) 4(70) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 8(30) 3(33) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 2(14) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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