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Summary for Tropical Storm Douglas (EP3/EP082020)
2020-07-22 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DOUGLAS STILL A TROPICAL STORM ... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON... As of 11:00 PM HST Tue Jul 21 the center of Douglas was located near 11.9, -128.0 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
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Tropical Storm Douglas Public Advisory Number 8
2020-07-22 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM HST Tue Jul 21 2020 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 220833 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Douglas Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082020 1100 PM HST Tue Jul 21 2020 ...DOUGLAS STILL A TROPICAL STORM ... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.9N 128.0W ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1875 MI...3020 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Douglas was located near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 128.0 West. Douglas is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest along with an increase in forward speed is forecast to occur by late Wednesday. The west-northwestward motion is forecast to continue at least through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Douglas is expected to become a hurricane on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Douglas Forecast Advisory Number 8
2020-07-22 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 220833 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082020 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 128.0W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 128.0W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 127.4W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.0N 129.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.9N 132.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.1N 135.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.5N 137.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.7N 140.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.8N 143.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.1N 149.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.8N 155.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 128.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Storm Douglas Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2020-07-22 10:33:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220833 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082020 0900 UTC WED JUL 22 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 33(33) 14(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) X(16) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 7(23) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tropical Storm Douglas Graphics
2020-07-22 04:37:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 22 Jul 2020 02:37:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 22 Jul 2020 02:37:04 GMT
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