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Tropical Storm Nora Public Advisory Number 8A

2021-08-27 19:34:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri Aug 27 2021 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 271734 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nora Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142021 100 PM CDT Fri Aug 27 2021 ...RAINBANDS FROM NORA CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE THOUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 104.6W ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan de Galeana to San Blas Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of San Blas to Mazatlan Mexico A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of Nora. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of these areas later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 104.6 West. Nora is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Nora will approach the southwestern coast of Mexico today and tonight and pass very near the coasts of the states of Colima, Jalisco, and Nayarit Saturday and Saturday night. Nora will then approach and move into the Gulf of California on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nora is expected to become a hurricane on Saturday. Nora is a large tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. A ship near the coast of Mexico about 200 miles northeast of Nora's center recently reported winds of 48 mph (78 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Nora can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages. WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring over southern portions of the tropical storm warning area and will spread to northern portions of the warning area through Saturday evening. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area Saturday night and Sunday. RAINFALL: Heavy rain associated with Nora is expected across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches are forecast through this weekend with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. As Nora continues northwest, heavy rainfall will move into Baja California Sur late Sunday into Monday. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are forecast, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. SURF: Swells generated by Nora are affecting the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast of Baja California Sur and into the Gulf of California over the weekend into early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Storm Ida Forecast Discussion Number 5

2021-08-27 16:49:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021 000 WTNT44 KNHC 271449 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Ida Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021 Radar imagery from Grand Cayman and Cuba as well as satellite data continue to show an improvement in Ida's overall structure this morning, with an increase in banding, the development of a small central dense overcast, and more recently an improved inner-core feature. Both the NOAA and Air Force reconnaissance aircraft reported that the pressure has fallen to around 996 mb, and the Air Force plane has measured flight-level and SFMR winds that support an initial intensity of 55 kt. Although there is still some southwesterly shear over Ida, the outflow has begun to expand over the northeastern and southeastern portions of the circulation. The upper-level trough near the Yucatan peninsula that has been imparting the shear over Ida is forecast to weaken and move westward during the next 12 to 24 hours, which should result in a more favorable upper-level wind pattern. This, in combination with warm sea surface temperatures and a moist environment along the forecast track of the storm are expected to result in steady to rapid strengthening. Ida is now foreast to become a hurricane when it is near western Cuba and once it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico a period of rapid strengthening is likely to begin, with the NHC intensity forecast explicitly calling for rapid intensification to major hurricane strength between 24 and 48 hours. The official intensity forecast is on the higher side of the intensity guidance but not quite as high as the slightly more aggressive CTCI, HWRF, and HCCA models. In addition to the increase in strength, the dynamical model guidance indicates that Ida's wind field will grow larger as it moves over the Gulf of Mexico and this is reflected in the NHC wind radii forecast. In summary, there is a higher-than-normal confidence that a significant hurricane will impact a large portion of the northern Gulf coast by late this weekend and early next week. Ida is moving northwestward or 320/13 kt. The track forecast reasoning is unchanged from before. A mid-level ridge over the western Atlantic is forecast to move westward and this should keep Ida on a general northwestward heading during the next 48-60 hours. This track will bring the storm across western Cuba later today, over the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday and Saturday night, to the coast of Louisiana by late Sunday. The track guidance is in remarkably good agreement with very little cross-track spread during the first 60 hours or so of the forecast period. After that time, Ida is forecast to reach the western portion of the ridge, which is expected to cause the storm to slow down and turn northward and then northeastward over the southeastern United States. The NHC track forecast is near or just east of the various consensus aids, in best agreement with the GFS ensemble mean. Although the small spread in the guidance through landfall increases the overall confidence in the track forecast, users are reminded to not focus on the exact details of the forecast track as storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will extend far from the center. Key Messages: 1. Life-threatening storm surge and hurricane conditions are expected later today and tonight in portions of western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Life-threatening heavy rains, flash flooding and mudslides are expected across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth. 2. The risk of life-threatening storm surge inundation is increasing along the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Inundation of 7 to 11 feet above ground level is possible within the area from Morgan City, Louisiana, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, including Lake Borgne. Interests in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 3. Ida is expected to be a dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the northern Gulf Coast on Sunday, and the risk of hurricane-force winds continues to increase, especially along portions of the Louisiana coast, including metropolitan New Orleans. Potentially devastating wind damage could occur where the core of Ida moves onshore. 4. Ida is likely to produce heavy rainfall later Sunday into Monday across the central Gulf Coast from southeast Louisiana to coastal Mississippi and Alabama, as well as the Lower Mississippi Valley, resulting in considerable flash, urban, small stream, and riverine flooding. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 20.7N 82.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 22.2N 83.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WESTERN CUBA 24H 28/1200Z 24.0N 85.8W 75 KT 85 MPH...OVER WATER 36H 29/0000Z 25.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 27.6N 89.7W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 30/0000Z 29.0N 90.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 72H 30/1200Z 30.3N 91.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1200Z 33.3N 90.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1200Z 35.2N 87.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown

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Summary for Tropical Storm Ida (AT4/AL092021)

2021-08-27 16:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...IDA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND WESTERN CUBA... As of 11:00 AM EDT Fri Aug 27 the center of Ida was located near 20.7, -82.1 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm Ida Public Advisory Number 5

2021-08-27 16:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021 000 WTNT34 KNHC 271448 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ida Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021 1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021 ...IDA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND WESTERN CUBA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 82.1W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Cuba has replace the Tropical Storm Warning with a Hurricane Warning for the Isle of Youth, and the Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa, and the Isle of Youth A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Sabine Pass to Alabama/Florida border * Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cameron, Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Cuban provinces of Matanzas, Mayabeque, and Havana A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in central and western Cuba and elsewhere along the northern U.S. Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. Hurricane warnings will likely be required for portions of the northern Gulf coast later today. Interests in the Dry Tortugas should also monitor the progress of Ida. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ida was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 82.1 West. Ida is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion should continue over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Ida will pass near or over the Isle of Youth and western Cuba later today, and move over the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico tonight and Saturday. Ida is forecast to make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf coast within the hurricane watch area on Sunday. Reports from Air Force and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast today and Ida is expected to be a hurricane when it nears western Cuba later today. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected when Ida moves over the southeastern and central Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, and Ida is expected to be a major hurricane when it approaches the northern Gulf coast. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. A wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h) was recently reported on Cayman Brac and a wind gust to 41 mph (67 km/h) has been observed on Cayo Largo, Cuba, within the past hour or two. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ida can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?key_messages. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Isle of Youth and near and to the east of where the center crosses the coast of western Cuba. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Morgan City, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...7-11 ft Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Morgan City, LA including Vermilion Bay...4-7 ft Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft Lake Pontchartrain...4-6 ft Lake Maurepas...3-5 ft Sabine Pass to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA...2-4 ft Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation values may be higher than those shown above. The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Little Cayman and Cayman Brac through early this afternoon. Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the Isle of Youth and portions of western Cuba in the Hurricane Warning area by later this afternoon and evening, with tropical storm conditions beginning within the next couple of hours on the Isle of Youth. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the northern Gulf coast late Saturday night or Sunday and tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area late Saturday night or Sunday. RAINFALL: Ida is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 15 inches across Jamaica. Rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are expected across the Cayman Islands and western Cuba, including the Isle of Youth. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. As Ida approaches the central Gulf Coast Sunday afternoon, total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 16 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches are possible from southeast Louisiana to coastal Mississippi and Alabama through Monday morning. Ida is forecast to turn northeast as it moves inland later Monday with rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches possible across southern and central Mississippi. This is likely to result in considerable flash, urban, small stream, and riverine flooding. SURF: Swells generated by this system will affect the Cayman Islands and Cuba through tonight. Swells will begin reaching portions of the northern Gulf coast Saturday night or early Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Storm Ida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2021-08-27 16:48:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 271448 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MARATHON FL 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) KEY WEST FL 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NAPLES FL 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT MYERS FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 3(16) 2(18) X(18) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 6(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 3(22) X(22) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 14(22) 3(25) X(25) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 16(26) 2(28) 1(29) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 25(50) 6(56) 1(57) X(57) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 27(39) 5(44) X(44) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 36(54) 5(59) X(59) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 3(21) X(21) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 40(61) 6(67) X(67) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 4(31) X(31) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 45(49) 27(76) 2(78) X(78) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 30(44) 1(45) 1(46) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 1(23) X(23) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 2( 2) 37(39) 53(92) 3(95) X(95) X(95) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 61(68) 8(76) X(76) X(76) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 9(52) 1(53) X(53) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 10(44) 2(46) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 46(74) 5(79) X(79) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 38(44) 5(49) X(49) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 2(26) X(26) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 59(70) 18(88) 1(89) X(89) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 27(65) 2(67) X(67) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 26(44) 2(46) X(46) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 55(70) 9(79) X(79) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) 6(47) X(47) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) X(21) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 54(80) 6(86) X(86) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 43(50) 5(55) X(55) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 2(30) X(30) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 12(57) X(57) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 6(20) X(20) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 53(65) 8(73) 1(74) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 7(40) X(40) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 56(70) 7(77) X(77) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 7(45) X(45) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) X(23) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 26(48) 4(52) X(52) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 2(19) X(19) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 6(23) 1(24) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 9(46) 1(47) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) 8(51) X(51) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) X(22) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 36(49) 5(54) 1(55) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) X(25) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 7(33) X(33) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 5(29) X(29) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 6(36) X(36) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 4(26) X(26) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) 1(15) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) X(17) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 5(27) X(27) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) COZUMEL MX 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 13 17(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HAVANA 34 41 4(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) ISLE OF PINES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLE OF PINES 50 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) ISLE OF PINES 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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