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Tropical Storm Eta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33

2020-11-08 16:04:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 081504 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1500 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) THE VILLAGES 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 7(11) 4(15) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 5(10) 3(13) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) 6(17) 4(21) PATRICK AFB 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 2(11) 6(17) 4(21) FT PIERCE FL 34 3 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) 2(15) 6(21) 3(24) W PALM BEACH 34 6 16(22) 2(24) X(24) 2(26) 5(31) 2(33) FT LAUDERDALE 34 18 28(46) 1(47) 1(48) 2(50) 2(52) 2(54) FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MIAMI FL 34 9 24(33) 1(34) X(34) 1(35) 2(37) 1(38) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 17 42(59) 1(60) X(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARATHON FL 34 36 61(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 1(98) MARATHON FL 50 4 76(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) MARATHON FL 64 X 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) KEY WEST FL 34 8 85(93) 1(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) KEY WEST FL 50 X 76(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 1(79) KEY WEST FL 64 X 21(21) 1(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) NAPLES FL 34 3 50(53) 3(56) 1(57) 4(61) 3(64) 3(67) NAPLES FL 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 2(12) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) FT MYERS FL 34 X 12(12) 1(13) 1(14) 4(18) 6(24) 5(29) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) VENICE FL 34 1 19(20) 5(25) 2(27) 10(37) 9(46) 6(52) VENICE FL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) TAMPA FL 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 7(20) 11(31) 5(36) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) 10(21) 6(27) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 4(17) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 7(12) 9(21) 5(26) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 3(15) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) GRAND BAHAMA 34 8 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) 3(18) 2(20) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 22 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 1(25) 1(26) ANDROS 34 36 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 1(39) GREAT EXUMA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 13(30) 15(45) 2(47) 1(48) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HAVANA 34 2 28(30) 14(44) 4(48) 8(56) 2(58) 1(59) HAVANA 50 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) 4(16) X(16) 1(17) HAVANA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 6(16) 8(24) 2(26) 1(27) CIENFUEGOS 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) CAMAGUEY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND CAYMAN 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

Tags: number speed wind storm

Tropical Storm Eta Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

2020-11-08 16:04:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sun, 08 Nov 2020 15:04:06 GMT

Tags: map storm tropical surge

Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Discussion Number 33

2020-11-08 16:00:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM EST Sun Nov 08 2020 000 WTNT44 KNHC 081500 TCDAT4 Tropical Storm Eta Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 1000 AM EST Sun Nov 08 2020 Eta remains a sheared tropical storm, although the low-level center has become embedded a little farther into the convective cloud mass. Cuban radar data from Camaguey indicate that Eta's center has moved back over water and is now located just offshore the east-central coast of Cuba. Radar imagery also indicates that a fairly impressive band of deep convection wraps more than half way around the center, especially in the western semicircle. Cirrus outflow has expanded in the southern semicircle, and indication that the shear may be decreasing somewhat. However, water vapor satellite imagery still shows a fair amount of dry mid-/upper-level air impinging on the cyclone from the southwest. The initial intensity of 55 kt is based on a report of 850-mb flight-level winds of 70 kt and reliable SFMR winds of 55-57 kt. The initial motion estimate is now 355/10 kt. Eta is interacting with a sharp mid-/upper-level, negatively tilted trough that extends east-southeastward across the Gulf of Mexico and into the northwestern Caribbean Sea. The eastern end of the trough is forecast to develop into a cutoff low alter today, which will act to turn Eta northwestward by this afternoon, and westward later tonight. The complex interaction between these two features is forecast to continue through 72 hours, resulting in the development of weak steering currents and Eta slowing down and possibly stalling near or just west of the Florida Keys by day 3. Thereafter, the global and regional models show widely varying solutions ranging from a motion toward the south or southwest (UKMET) toward Yucatan, to slow northward (ECMWF) or northeastward motion (GFS/HWRF) over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The new NHC track forecast lies to the north, or to the right, of the 12Z interpolated models and consensus models (due to the interpolater possibly having some problems handling the sharp westward turn that Eta is forecast to make), and lies close to the previous advisory track and a blend of the operational 00Z ECMWF, and 06Z GFS and UKMET model tracks. Now that Eta's center is back over water, gradual re-strengthening is expected to begin later this afternoon. The global models are forecasting to vertical wind shear to steadily decrease across the center for the next next 48 hours as Eta moves north of the cutoff low and into a col small region region between the low and an upper-level trough moving eastward across northern Florida. The GFS- and ECMWF-based SHIPS intensity guidance indicate that the shear will decrease to less than 10 kt by 36 hours, but the shear will likely decrease sooner since SHIPS model uses winds that extend out 500 km (270 nmi) from the center, which are not always representative of the wind flow near the center. With favorable low-shear conditions and sea-surface temperatures warmer than 28 deg C, the only hindering factor appears to be proximity to dry mid-level air, which could get entrained into the inner core and inhibit development of deep convection in that part of the cyclone. For now, the new NHC intensity forecast remains similar to the previous advisory, which is above the model guidance up to 36 hours and a little below the guidance thereafter, and shows Eta at 65 kt or Category 1 hurricane intensity in the 24-72 hour period. However, it is certainly possibly that if dry air does not penetrate into Eta's inner core later today, then the cyclone could become a hurricane before it reaches the Florida Keys tonight. For this reason, a Hurricane Warning has been issued for portions of the Florida Keys. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall from Eta will continue across portions of Cuba, Jamaica, the Bahamas, and southern Florida and spread north into central Florida. This rain may result in significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding in Cuba. Flash and urban flooding will also be possible for Jamaica, the Bahamas and southern Florida, along with potential minor river flooding in central Florida. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue today in portions of Cuba and the northwestern Bahamas, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect. 3. Hurricane conditions are expected in portions of the Florida Keys by early Monday where a Hurricane Warning is now in effect. Damaging tropical-storm-force winds are expected to begin in the Florida Keys by this afternoon. Tropical Storm conditions are also expected and hurricane conditions are possible for portions of the southern Florida peninsula where a Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect. Elsewhere across portions of the east and west coasts of the Florida peninsula, the risk of tropical-storm-force winds will extend well away from Eta's center, and Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are in effect. 4. A dangerous storm surge is expected in portions of the Florida Keys where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. A Storm Surge Watch is also in effect for portions of the southern coast of the Florida peninsula. Residents in the Storm Surge Warning and Watch areas should follow any advice given by local officials. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 22.5N 79.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 24.1N 79.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 09/1200Z 24.5N 82.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 10/0000Z 23.9N 84.1W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 10/1200Z 23.8N 85.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 60H 11/0000Z 24.0N 85.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 24.9N 85.2W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 12/1200Z 26.2N 84.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 13/1200Z 26.9N 83.9W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: number discussion storm tropical

Tropical Storm Eta Forecast Advisory Number 33

2020-11-08 15:56:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020 000 WTNT24 KNHC 081456 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020 1500 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WARNING AND STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO BONITA BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE * FLORIDA COAST FROM BREVARD/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO ENGLEWOOD INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 79.2W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 79.2W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 79.1W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.1N 79.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...170NE 100SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.5N 82.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...240NE 100SE 70SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.9N 84.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.8N 85.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N 85.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.9N 85.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.2N 84.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.9N 83.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 79.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Summary for Tropical Storm Eta (AT4/AL292020)

2020-11-08 12:52:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...ETA INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL CUBA... ...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODS AND STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA, FLORIDA, AND THE FLORIDA KEYS... As of 7:00 AM EST Sun Nov 8 the center of Eta was located near 21.9, -79.1 with movement NNE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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