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Summary for Subtropical Storm FAY (AT2/AL072014)
2014-10-10 22:56:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Oct 10 the center of FAY was located near 24.7, -64.2 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Subtropical Storm FAY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2014-10-10 22:51:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014 000 FONT12 KNHC 102051 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X 5( 5) 39(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Subtropical Storm FAY Forecast Advisory Number 2
2014-10-10 22:49:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014 000 WTNT22 KNHC 102049 TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 64.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 65.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 63.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 60.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 64.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Subtropical Depression SEVEN Graphics
2014-10-10 19:41:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 17:41:02 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 10 Oct 2014 15:05:02 GMT
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Summary for Subtropical Depression SEVEN (AT2/AL072014)
2014-10-10 19:38:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF BERMUDA... ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM... As of 2:00 PM AST Fri Oct 10 the center of SEVEN was located near 24.3, -64.0 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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