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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 19:47:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171747 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located about 500 miles west of Bermuda, on Tropical Depression Ten, located more than 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Imelda, located near Freeport, Texas. A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa on Thursday. Some gradual development will be possible over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Imelda are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Imelda are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 17:45:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171544 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1145 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Outlook issued to update discussion on low pressure near the Texas coast. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located more than 500 miles west of Bermuda. The National Hurricane center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Ten, located more than 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands. Updated: Recent satellite, radar, and surface data show that the area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico near the Texas coast has become better defined this morning. The associated thunderstorm activity has also increased and become a little better organized. If these development trends continue, a tropical depression could form before the system moves inland later today or tonight, but significant additional development is not likely once the system moves inland. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and flooding remain the primary hazards with this system. This disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches across the upper coastal region of Texas into far southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 13:42:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 171142 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located more than 500 miles west of Bermuda. A small low pressure system is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized this morning, and conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico near the central Texas coast has changed little in organization. However, some slight development is still possible before the system moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast later tonight or early Wednesday. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce areas of very heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along the coastal regions of southwestern Louisiana and central and upper Texas tonight and Wednesday, and over eastern Texas and western Louisiana on Thursday. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 07:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 170532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located nearly 600 miles west of Bermuda. A small low pressure system located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system has changed little in organization since yesterday, but conditions are still expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has become a little more concentrated during the past several hours. Nearby observations indicate that although pressures are falling in the area, there are no signs of a surface circulation at this time. Some slight development is possible before the system moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday night. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 01:18:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 162318 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located less than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. A small low pressure system located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast Tuesday night. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding along portions of the central and upper Texas coastal areas later this week. For additional information, see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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