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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 13:47:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, centered just east of the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and significant development of this system is not anticipated during the next several days while it moves quickly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 650 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. The area of disturbed weather that was located midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has merged with the easternmost tropical wave mentioned above. Development of the original disturbance is no longer anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:55:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140555 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Humberto, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located between the two tropical waves mentioned above, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with the tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains a distinct system. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 01:45:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 132345 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Nine, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity and only gradual development is anticipated during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather has developed between two tropical waves, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with a tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains distinct from the wave. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-13 19:39:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and if this trend continues, a tropical depression or tropical storm may develop later this afternoon or evening as the system drifts northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the tropical Atlantic and approaches the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-13 13:47:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
465 ABNT20 KNHC 131147 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while the it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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