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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 19:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located about 200 miles north of the northwestern Bahamas. A small low pressure system is producing an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Slow development is anticipated during the next day or two, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday, and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 13:33:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151133 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located more than 100 miles north of the northwestern Bahamas. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located over the central tropical Atlantic. Shower activity remains disorganized and only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or two. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development through the middle of the week, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday, and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 07:26:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, located nearly 100 miles north of the northwestern Bahamas. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located over the central tropical Atlantic. This disturbance is currently disorganized and only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or two. Conditions are then forecast to be conducive for gradual development through the middle of the week and a tropical depression could form while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-15 01:11:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 142311 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, centered just northeast of the northwestern Bahamas. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located over the central tropical Atlantic. This disturbance is currently disorganized and only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or two. Conditions are then forecast to be conducive for gradual development through the middle of next week and a tropical depression could form while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers over the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 19:15:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141714 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, centered just east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 750 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A large area of cloudiness and showers over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico. This system is forecast to move inland along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday and development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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