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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-04 13:37:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 041137 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the coast of northeast Florida, on Tropical Storm Fernand, located a short distance east of the coast of northeastern Mexico, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure, located just east of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeastward away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge later today over the far eastern tropical Atlantic west of Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to become mostly conducive for development late this week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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atlantic
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tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-04 07:58:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 040558 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the coast of central Florida. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fernand, located about 100 miles east of the coast of northeastern Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Eight, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A trough of low pressure, located just east of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeastward, away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of heavy rainfall are likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands later today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-04 01:21:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 032321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located east of Melbourne, Florida. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Fernand, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, and on recently formed Tropical Depression Eight, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A trough of low pressure, located just west of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeast, away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of heavy rainfall are likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands within the next day or so. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Latto
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-03 20:01:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 031800 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located north of Grand Bahama Island. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Fernand, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to exhibit a broad circulation. Any significant increase in thunderstorms would contribute to the formation of a tropical depression. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda were showing some signs of organization. Development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves northward. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. Periods of heavy rainfall are likely to impact Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands by Thursday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Dorian are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Dorian are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. Public Advisories on Fernand are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Fernand are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Carbin
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-03 13:52:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
981 ABNT20 KNHC 031152 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located just north of Grand Bahama Island. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on newly formed Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to become better defined. The associated thunderstorm activity has been increasing, and a tropical depression is expected to form later today while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A trough of low pressure, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of the disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while the system moves northward, and a tropical depression could form by Thursday. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of heavy rainfall are likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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