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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-05 19:31:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051731 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located just east of Charleston, South Carolina, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located nearly 1000 miles northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, well to the southeast of the center. This system has become poorly defined and significant development is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is associated with a tropical wave. Only slow development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about 100 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. Enhanced rainfall is possible across the Cabo Verde Islands through early Friday as the disturbance moves through the region. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-05 13:40:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 051139 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located a little less than 100 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, well to the southeast of the center. Significant development of this system is not anticipated while it moves northeastward across the central north Atlantic due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A trough of low pressure located about 500 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Only slow development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-05 07:04:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 050504 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located a little over 100 miles south of Charleston, South Carolina, on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and has issued the last advisory on the remnants of Fernand located over northeastern Mexico. A small area of low pressure located a little over 200 miles northeast of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, well to the southeast of the center. Increasingly unfavorable upper-level winds, produced by Hurricane Dorian, are expected to inhibit further development during the next several days as the system moves northeastward into the central north Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave along the coast of Africa will begin to move over the eastern Atlantic tonight. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some slow development late this week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-05 01:20:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042320 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located a little over 100 miles south of Charleston, South Carolina, on Tropical Depression Fernand, located inland over eastern Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure located about 200 miles northeast of Bermuda is producing showers and thunderstorms well to the southeast of the center. Only a small decrease in the upper level winds could result in the formation of a tropical depression in the next day or so. However, by Saturday upper-level winds are forecast to increase even further, making conditions unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A tropical wave along the coast of Africa will begin to move over the eastern Atlantic tonight. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some slow development late this week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-04 19:52:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 041752 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles northeast of Daytona Beach Florida, on Tropical Storm Fernand, located just inland along the coast north of La Pesca Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A small area of low pressure located about 150 miles northeast of Bermuda has become a little better defined today, but the thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Further development of this disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeastward away from Bermuda. By Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A tropical wave along the coast of Africa is forecast to emerge over the eastern Atlantic later today. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some slow development late this week, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression over the weekend or early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake/Hagen

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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