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Summary for Hurricane Hilda (EP3/EP082021)
2021-08-02 22:33:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HILDA HANGING ON AS A HURRICANE... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 the center of Hilda was located near 15.9, -122.8 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Hurricane Hilda Public Advisory Number 13
2021-08-02 22:33:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 022033 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Hilda Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 ...HILDA HANGING ON AS A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 122.8W ABOUT 970 MI...1560 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilda was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 122.8 West. Hilda is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn to the west on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Hilda should gradually weaken during the next several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 13
2021-08-02 22:33:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 022033 TCMEP3 HURRICANE HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 2100 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.8W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 120SE 105SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.8W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 122.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.5N 123.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.4N 124.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.3N 125.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N 126.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.1N 128.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 129.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 122.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Hurricane Hilda Forecast Discussion Number 12
2021-08-02 16:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 021434 TCDEP3 Hurricane Hilda Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 The satellite presentation of Hilda hasn't changed much in the past several hours, with a round central dense overcast and perhaps a ragged eye trying to form. The intensity estimates range from 60-77 kt, and since the hurricane's presentation is about the same as the last advisory, the current wind speed will remain 70 kt. This is one of those times that in situ reconnaissance data would be helpful since there has been lots of spread in the intensity estimates for quite some time, and Hilda is at an intensity where it is hard to get more precise measurements. The hurricane has finally turned northwestward and should continue in that general direction for the next couple of days on the southwestern side of the subtropical ridge, with some influence from Ignacio to the northeast. Model guidance is in decent agreement that Hilda will turn back to the west-northwest by midweek and then west under the restrengthened subtropical ridge. While there are still some outlier solutions, the latest consensus guidance is near the previous NHC forecast, so only small changes were made on this advisory. Hilda is maintaining good inner-core structure on the latest microwave data despite northeasterly shear (perhaps because of a fairly moist mid-level environment around the hurricane), so little intensity change is forecast for today. Thereafter, the system should move over cooler waters into a drier environment, which should cause gradual weakening for the next several days. Very little change was made to the NHC intensity forecast, and it is close to the HCCA and IVCN consensus aids throughout. Remnant-low status is expected by 96 h, if not sooner. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/1500Z 15.4N 122.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 03/0000Z 16.0N 123.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 03/1200Z 16.9N 123.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 04/0000Z 17.9N 124.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 04/1200Z 18.9N 126.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 05/0000Z 19.7N 127.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 05/1200Z 20.4N 129.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 06/1200Z 21.5N 133.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 07/1200Z 21.5N 138.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane Hilda Graphics
2021-08-02 16:33:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 14:33:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 14:33:01 GMT
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