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Hurricane Hilda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2021-08-02 16:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 021432 PWSEP3 HURRICANE HILDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 1500 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 11(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Summary for Hurricane Hilda (EP3/EP082021)
2021-08-02 16:32:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...HILDA NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 8:00 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 the center of Hilda was located near 15.4, -122.6 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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Hurricane Hilda Public Advisory Number 12
2021-08-02 16:32:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 021432 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Hilda Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021 800 AM PDT Mon Aug 02 2021 ...HILDA NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 122.6W ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilda was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 122.6 West. Hilda is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Wednesday, followed by a turn to the west on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening should begin by tomorrow and continue through midweek. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Hurricane Hilda Forecast Advisory Number 12
2021-08-02 16:31:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 220 WTPZ23 KNHC 021431 TCMEP3 HURRICANE HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082021 1500 UTC MON AUG 02 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 122.6W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 122.6W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N 123.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.9N 123.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.9N 124.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.9N 126.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.7N 127.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.4N 129.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 122.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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Hurricane Hilda Graphics
2021-08-02 10:37:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 08:37:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 02 Aug 2021 09:23:25 GMT
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